The 2018 Draft order is
set and the Mets will pick 5th.
Three of the top four
picks in this draft also seem to be set.
RHP Brady Singer is
obviously the top pitcher in the draft and is odds on favorite to go 1.1 in
June’s draft.
The experts (sic) also
have two premier infielders… middle fielder Nick
Madrigal from Oregon State and Brice Turang from
Santiago HS (CA)… as two of the top four picks.
This leaves only one
pick before the Mets pick at #5, leaving plenty of choices to choose a ‘big bat’
with their first round pick.
The top one in this
draft is Clemson 1B/OF/DH Seth Beer. You don’t
have to look for projected power here. 2017 was actually an off year, posting a
stat line of ‘only’ 218-AB, .298/.478/.606, 16-HR, 53-RBI. As a sophomore
(2016) he hit 203-AB, .369/.535/.700, 62-BB, 18-HR, 70-RBI.
I am a big fan of
Clemson baseball and I follow this team all season long. I can tell you that
his hits have won many a game as well as tie one up late in the innings, or
take the lead for a win to come. He knows how to win.
Beer’s downside has
been discussed here before. The reason his fielding percentage looks decent is
the fact that he has played most of his games as a designated hitter. His
fielding at first base… in fact, his whole game… can be compared to Peter Alonso.
Still, given Dominic Smith, Alonso, or Beer, I would take Beer in a
heartbeat (though you wil have to wait until around 2020 for him).
(note: Beer could
easily be gone in the top four picks. One third of the pundits have him as a
below top 10 pick, one third has him in the top five, and one third have him two
overall. That’s how big this bat is.)
Jered Kelenic
(Waukesha HS, WI) is a
6-1 outfielder with 5-tool potential. He’s also a very intense player that
simply hates to lose. A school day for him begins at 4:45 am when he gets ready
to report to his personal trainer at 5:15 am. His father has built two (not
one) multi-million dollar practice facilities for Jered to use. This is a
family with one goal… success on the baseball field for Kelenic.
Think that dude that plays right field for the Nats.
He already has been
tagged as the best defensive outfielder in this draft. He’s very strong with
projected center field range, though his arm projects to right field. Excellent
speed and huge power potential, but the key word here is ‘key’. If you draft
Kelenic, you are four to five years away for a major league outfielder.
C Will Banfield (Brookwood HS – GA). Banfield is someone
the Mets need to take very seriously. He’s a big time, super-duper defensive
catcher with tremendous power. 6-0, 200-LBs. Also hits 94-mph from the mound.
Has ++ arm strength and 1.74 pop in drills. Big time power that currently is
targeted to right center. There doesn’t seem to be any down side here. He seems
to be far more talented than anyone the Mets have in their pipeline at this
position.
OF Joe Gray Jr. (Hattiesburg HS – MS). This is the power
competition to Beer. 6-3, 195. Huge power potential. Very projectable. 6.75 in
the sixty but actually plays faster on the field. Highest level defensive tools
with laser arm. RHH. The swing is short but the results are big and most of the
power is still to come. Another one of those kids just seem like a ‘can’t miss’
candidate, though he will be 4-5 years away.
Past these guys, you do
have Missouri State SS Jeremy Eierman, who ended
the 2017 season with 23 home runs, ranked 5th in D1 baseball. Yes, he would get to the
majors ahead of Beer, Banfield, or Gray, though I do project him of having a
huge risk, especially in the K/AB ratio. Yes, Eierman hit 23 home runs in 243
at-bats, but he also struck out 61 times.
Additionally, if the
Mets draft another shortstop I will stick a kitchen knife in my neck.
Past these guys is a
big question mark. There simply isn’t that many sluggers at either the high
school or college level, that have 5-tool skills. They also all seem to
strikeout a lot.
A longshot to me, maybe
in the 2nd or 3rd round, would be Morehead State OF Niko Hulsizer.
He finished last year ranked 2nd in the nation with 27 home runs in
59 games. 2017 stat line: 59-G, 249-AB,
.349/.435/.775, 21-doubles, 27-HR, 82-RBI, 74-K. Obviously, the strikeouts are
a red flag, but this is a big kid with mad power skills.
9 comments:
I love those bats. Do you really think Beer is a better bat than Alonso?
I think Kelenic or Banfield might be the way to go.
Why does Kelenic scream Gregg Jefferies to me ?
Tom -
Beer hits better than anyone in both college and high school. He will lead every minor league league he plays in and I predict he will become the top DH in the game someday.
Ed -
Kelenic would give you golden glove results in the outfield and 30+ home runs from the plate.
I would hope .. but I also see his fathers “investment” as a sign that the kid could burn himself out due to high expectations of a rich father .. not saying I’m right but I just hope this kid has realistic expectations as well as a self deprecating personality
They all look better than Nimmo and Cecchini, ya think?
Tom
I likr Brandon (never met Cecchini) but they were both God awful first round picks and I have said so since the day they were picked.
Mack, I totally agree, and it is nothing personal about Nimmo, who I think is a great young man. Like you say, they were bad first round picks. if the Mets had not picked them it would have been interesting to see where they would have been picked.
Mets pick 6th.
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