8/16/19

Reese Kaplan -- The Long and Short of MLB Success



Some people are just born looking like athletes.  Take a look at Pete Alonso and right away you suspect there’s a lot of home run power there.  Gaze at Noah Syndergaard and you can believe he will light up the radar gun in triple digits.  Even the much maligned (toward the latter stages of his career) Jose Reyes just had that energy that told you he was going to be something pretty special out there on the diamond.


Then there are the little guys who have to do everything twice as well as everyone else to get noticed.  Do you remember shortstop Freddie Patek of the Kansas City Royals?  He may not have hit for a high average, but he swiped nearly 400 bases and was a three time All Star.  The diminutive Mr. Patek was listed as just 5’5”. 


In my home state there’s a guy by the name of Jose Altuve playing for the Astros.  Yeah, you may have heard of him.  All he’s done in his career thus far is hit .316 while average 16 HRs, 69 RBIs and stealing 34 bases.  He’s a 6 time All Star and the 5’6” 2nd baseman already has an MVP award on his shelf. 


The short pitcher is an even rarer breed.  You’d have to go back to Bobby Shantz to find a shorter-than-average pitcher who had sustained success in the majors.  He finished his career mostly with the Athletics and Yankees with a 119-99 record and a 3.38 ERA.  His best season was in 1952 going 24-7 with 27 complete games and an ERA of just 2.48.  His high watermark for strikeouts came that year as well with 152, a nice number but not one to get the scouts excited.


So all of this petite player history is a prelude to an open question about the career of the Mets’ 2014 29th round draft choice by the name of Matt Blackham.  At 5’10” and 150 pounds, he’s a bit taller than these other players, but does give off that “get sand kicked in his face” size given his skinny frame.  Granted, low level draft picks also have to fight doubly hard to get noticed, but you’d think someone would be paying attention to what he’s done on the field.

He started off in Kingsport in 2014 going 2-0 over 11 games and 19 IP with a 1.42 ERA, striking out 25 in that span.  The bugaboo with him has always been control and he showed that weakness then as well with 9 walks allowed.  Still, he kept people from getting hits and finished with a WHIP of 1.00.

In 2015 he made it to Brooklyn where he didn’t fare quite as well but was quickly shut down after 6 games (as a starter!) with an injury that cost him the remainder of the season as well as 2016.

In 2017 he was already age 24 and just reaching Columbia.  Over 40 games in the bullpen he was brilliant, going 4-2 with a 1.43 ERA and striking out on average 13 batters per 9 IP.  So unlike Shantz, this small guy could fan batters with the best of them. 

2018 saw him pitch split time between St. Lucie and Binghamton.  He hit something of a wall in AA and started off 2019 there again.  This time around in 27 games he was 5-0 with a 13.27 K per 9 IP rate and a WHIP of 1.06 despite giving up a lot of walks.  That resulted in a promotion to AAA and at age 26 he’s currently pitching to a 1.08 ERA over his first 6 games there.  The strikeouts are down, the control is still iffy, but a 0.84 WHP is nothing to sneeze at.

Obviously injury played a large part in his delay to the majors after his graduation from Middle Tennessee State University.  A scouting site called 2080baseball is not overly high on him, thinking his ceiling is a AAAA type and filler at the upper minors level.  For his career he has an 18-9 record with a 2.33 ERA and batters hitting just .175 against him.  I don’t know, but I think he might have a little more in the tank than that evaluation would suggest.  Given the sad state of the Mets pen, might he be worth a look?

8 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Patek was probably more like 5'3", so he made the most out of his size, for sure. Remember him hitting one over I think the 406 sign in Forbes Field.

Altuve is a freak...the great kind.

I hope Blackham succeeds - but Gagnon's horrific outing last night shows the majors and minors can be two VERY different things for pitchers.

Gagnon's AAA #s this year are very good, but it clearly has not translated.

On the big side, you had JR Richard, a sad story about a truly elite power arm turned tragic.

Tom Brennan said...

Pete sure needed a night like last night - and Amed is fast becoming the star everyone thought he'd be.

Tom Brennan said...

Bobby Shnatz, still alive at age 92, was listed at 5'6", 139! 139!!

Tom Brennan said...

Shantz in 587 PAs was .195/.265/.245 as a hitter too! And only fanned 96 times! Remarkable.

John From Albany said...

Blackham earned his first AAA win last night with a scoreless inning. His era is now 0.96

Mack Ade said...

Reese

You are right. Many pitchers that ace AAA and flop out in the majors outweight the ones that suceed.

Still, what are we suppose to do? Reward the ones that pitch like crap in AAA?

It is Matt's turn.

Tom Brennan said...

Bring...up...Matt...Blackham!

Reese Kaplan said...

Before we get too excited, do the names Tim Peterson and Paul Sewald ring a bell? They too put up gaudy minor league numbers but couldn't get it to work at the next level. Minor leaguer David Roseboom as recently as 2018 pitched to a 2.72 ERA over 40 games in AA and was released this year. He was never quite the same after a foot injury.

Don't get me wrong. I want to see Blackham get his shot. However, minor league success isn't always translatable. What's rarer, however, is someone who struggles in the minors then succeeds in the majors.

It does happen on occasion. The Mets had a minor league hurler with a 3.62 career ERA over 58 starts. He gave up better than a hit per inning and fanned way under that number. He also happens to have a Cy Young Award on his mantle and just signed a 5 year, $137.5 million contract extension as a result of his big league success at a much higher level than he ever enjoyed in the minors.