The Morning Report – December 19 – Chris Flexen, Ryan Bolden, LAD Monopoly Money, SD-Nats-TB Trade, Nats Drafting
Posted by Mack Ade at 8:00 AM
I will begin today working on an update for the Mets top prospect list. I never have my list to a fixed amount of players because, to me, it’s based on the number of real time prospects that are in the system. A prospect to me is someone that is showing, at his level, that he has a good chance of someday becoming a major league baseball player.
Right now, my list is 37 prospects. I will start posting these sometime before Christmas, starting with number 37, RHSP Chris Flexen.
I will also add this paragraph before each posting:
My rankings is solely subjective and based on nothing more than what is in my head at time I’m writing this. I’ve followed the Mets minor league players for many years and I feel I can recognize talent at various levels of their development. What I have failed at is how to determine when this talent seems to diminish. It’s amazing how many first round picks never make it in this game.
I’m old school, so you won’t seem much SABR-discussion here, I do research and, when I find a good quote or two, I’ll add them to my analysis, but, like I said in the beginning of this post, most of this us subjective.
Marc Carig[i] on Asdrubal Cabrera and Stephen Drew.
The Los Angeles Angels 2010 first round draft pick, Ryan Bolden, was shot and killed last night. He was 21-years old.
Bolden’s career never got going. He hit .187 for the AZL-Angles in 2010, repeated there in 2011 and hit .168, and returned for a third season in 2012 (.133). He was eventually released and played 2013 for Orem in the independent Pioneer League (23-Abs, .130). Back problems ended his career.
The fight, according to police, started over an argument by 10 and 11 year olds about candy. Adults got involved and Bolden would up shot.
I came across an interesting fact written online. The LA Dodgers are now paying $54mil to four baseball players, Brian Wilson, Dee Gordon, Dan Haren, and Matt Kemp… to NOT play for the team. This combined money is more that the entire 2014 payroll of the Houston Astros and Miami Marlins.
It absolutely amazes me how, first, the league doesn’t have some ceiling on the amount a team can spend on their team, and secondly, how little the amount you spend has anything to do with success.
The top five team salaries in 2014, and where they finished were:
1. LA Dodgers $235,295,219 – 1st place – lost in NLDS
2. NY Yankees $203,812,506 – out of playoffs
3. Philadelphia Phillies $180,052,723 – out of playoffs
4. Boston Red Sox $162,817,411 – out of playoffs
5. Detroit Tigers $162,228,527 – 1st place – lost in ALDS Not one of these teams made their respective championship series
I wouldn’t react too harshly to the three-way deal that brought both SS Trae Turner and P Joe Ross for basically OF Steven Souza and LHP Travis Ott. These are all team controlled players that have a long way to go before becoming major league stars; however, it speaks volumes to the success over the years of the Nationals draft system.
They were a horrible team going nowhere, but they decide early on to build from within the system. The difference between them and the Mets were they weren’t hesitant to go over the signing bonus restrictions (when you could still do it without massive penalties) and took chances with ex-prospects that fell due to injuries suffered in school.
Did it work? Well, not really.
Most of the Nats draft success have come from picking highly touted first round players that were ranked as one of the top five in the nation at the time of the drafting (remember, how long this team was bad).
3B Anthony Rendon (2011), OF Bryce Harper (2010), SP Stephen Strasberg )2009), RP Drew Storen (2009), and SP Ross Detwiler (2007) have all added to the success of this team.
In fact, the only non-first round pick that had any degree of success in the major since 2007 has been 2B Steve Lombardozzi (19th round – 2008), 2B Danny Espinosa (3rd round – 2008, and SP Jordan Zimmerman (2007).
Washington participated in this trade for one reason… to find the replacement for Ian Desmond after his contract runs out at the end of the 2015 season.).