3/20/24

Reese Kaplan -- 5 Up and 5 Down From Port St. Lucie


It's time now that we're more than halfway through Spring training it's time for a modified top 10 list of sorts regarding folks attempting to become a part of a major league contending New York Mets for the 2024 season.  This time, however, instead of a ranking of 1-10 (or 10-1) let's take a top five good personnel signs and a bottom five bad personnel signs from folks expected to come north with the club.  Here we go...


Number 5 Positive

When the Mets obtained Tyrone Taylor along with pitcher Adrian Houser in an off-season trade, the chorus of "Who?" was nearly deafening.  Most figured it was just a case of some familiar faces for David Stearns during his Milwaukee tenure.  Instead Taylor has shown he has the defensive skills and a surprising power capability to suggest he's an ideal 4tb outfielder.

Number 4 Positive

The reaction to the Luis Severino signing was not exactly champagne glasses tinkling.  He was coming off a season with an ERA approaching 7.00 and has missed a lot of time in his career due to injuries.  It felt kind of like it was kind of like the, "We can pretend we're the Yankees" all over again.  First their manager and now one of their starting pitchers.  Much to everyone's pleasant surprise thus far Severino has pitched like an All Star and less like a washed up player whose career has come to an early end.

Number 3 Positive

What can be said about Edwin Diaz's debut?  He came in with trumpets blaring and mowed down the side as if no injury happened that wiped out 2023.  That single appearance (due to his travel south to be with his wife for the birth of their child) was enough Mets personnel, fans and media types needed to breathe a huge sigh of relief after trying out many unsuccessful relievers in his absence last season.

Number 2 Positive

While everyone is surely in awe of the home run power Francisco Alvarez can generate, it was always a question about his defensive skills and throwing arm in particular that made folks question what his success would be when he reached the majors.  His ascent was premature due to injuries last season and he certainly demonstrated the long ball swing.  What was more impressive was seeing his defense regarding framing and other parts of his game markedly improve as the season unfolded.  This year his throwing has even been on a few highlight reels.  He works extremely hard and folks are already clamoring for a long term buyout to keep him from ever getting away.

Number 1 Positive

While I'm still in the "I'll believe it when I see it" camp regarding the great success Tylor Megill has had in Florida, you can't argue with the numbers he's generated.  Adding a pitch not only has helped, but perhaps it pushed his confidence up to a corresponding new level.  Still, what happens in Florida (like a .469 hitting fringe ballplayer) isn't necessarily equivalent to what the real season results turn out to be.  Here's hoping I'm 100% wrong about Megill and he is finally ready to be a major league starting pitcher.  Of course, since I pecked out this story in his last Florida start he pitched like vintage Tylor Megill which is not a good thing at all.


Number 5 Negative

When the Mets made a relatively late signing of flamethrower Shintaro Fujinami people got kind of excited.  Guys who can reach 103 mph on the radar gun semi regularly are a rarity.  Unfortunately control has never been something he's mastered and his early work in Spring training suggests his available options to the minors will likely be put to use to enable him to pitch regularly in high pressure situations while attempting to work on attacking the strike zone more regularly.

Number 4 Negative

No one would like a repeat of 2022 Starling Marte any more than the fans, the media and Marte himself.  He always showed stellar defense, top notch speed and solid home run power.  After health issues sidelined him for much of 2023 and curtailed his output when he did play, the word everyone got from winter ball was that he was healthy and ready to go.  Thus far the numbers have not demonstrated it to be a fact and given his invisible 2023 he's not getting the same benefit of doubt that a solid hitter from last season like Francisco Lindor does.  Given how thin the Mets outfield is, the team really needs Marte to come back effectively.

Number 3 Negative

Well, the good news is that Brett Baty recently made the highlight reel for a couple of defensive gems in a game after having seen him get manhandled by the batted ball for much of 2023.  The bad news is that opposing pitchers are continuing to have their way with him.  Folks were clamoring for Justin Turner to be signed as a DH and 3rd base insurance.  Then came the sudden interest in JD Davis.  Neither happened and to hear David Stearns tell it, Brett Baty is the guy (likely through the All Star break anyway).

Number 2 Negative

While taking most of his ABs as a hitter rather than defensive player, Mark Vientos is showing some power (and a tacky bat flip on a recent home run).  The problem is that if he doesn't play the field then he'd better kick it into a much higher gear with the bat as that skill is all he'll have to display.  Thus far it feels as if their are signs of improvement but not yet an extended hot streak.

Number 1 Negative 

This position could be covered by any number of underperforming Mets players.  Luke Voit, Harrison Bader, DJ Stewart, Tomas Nido, Omar Narvaez and many others could audition but on the realistic side none of them are projected to be part of the regular group of starting players.  The uniform thread for nearly everyone in uniform is poor offense so why don't we grant returning hitting coach Eric Chavez an honorary number one for what has not yet been done.


To be truthful, all of the positives and negatives of Spring training are illusory.  We've seen hot hitters and dominant pitchers return unspectacularly to earth come April baseball.  We've also seen guys who's struggled mightily somehow put that Florida slump in the rearview mirror.  Still, when you make personnel decisions you only have career histories and recent performances as measuring sticks by which people head north or head out of town.


10 comments:

TexasGusCC said...

Reese, for me the number 1 positive has been the pitching as a whole. I know they lead MLB spring training in ERA by a mile, but it’s almost perplexing how everyone is pitching well, or mostly everyone. The good work has it where we can’t speculate who will be in the bullpen nor who should be in the starting rotation. How does Butto get left out, maybe over Houser? How can Tonkin or Reid-Foley not make the bullpen? What about Bickford? That’s one.

Choi has shown his health and platoon advantage is back. He is almost certainly the guy over Stewart, Thompson or any other contender for the last spot on the roster.

One negative for me has been the offense. They are in a slumber and that’s fine for now, but the alarm will sound soon and it will be time to get going. The Mets as a whole have struck out way too much this spring and that’s a bad sign.

Tom Brennan said...

Alvarez a very nice CS and opposite field double last night.

Hopefully, the subs won’t play too much because the vets play and hit well. McNeil was interviewed and said earlier in the game, he hit a grand slam…that the incoming wind kept in the park. Hitting and D should both be better.

Tom Brennan said...

Gus, I did a quick article on the pitching scheduled for 9:00.

Mack Ade said...

A couple of things

Your number 5 positive became a negative yesterday. He was reassigned to the minor camps

Your number 3 negative is hitting over
.300 the past two weeks

Reese Kaplan said...

Tyrone Taylor was reassigned to the minor league camp? I don't see any news about that anywhere.

Paul Articulates said...

I too was impressed with what I saw from Taylor. But I guess if you have options, it works against you when tough decisions have to be made.

I also have been worried about the hitting, but they always say the pitchers start the spring well ahead of the hitters. Hopefully the Mets hitters are just a timing adjustment from showing some positives.

Mack Ade said...

Might be wrong

May be the Trayce dude

Mind doesn't work right anymore.

Too many T guys

TexasGusCC said...

The team made another round of cuts. For this round, these lists of players include:

RHP Kyle Crick
OF Ben Gamel
RHP Yacksel Rios
INF Yolmer Sanchez
RHP Cole Sulser
OF Trayce Thompson

Mack Ade said...

See?

Told ya it was a T guy

Remember1969 said...

So I see Megill has been named the fifth starter and Butto will start the year in Syracuse. I suspect Butto will be up fairly soon for a spot start or two and never look back again.

One positive for me as I scan the spring box scores is the seemingly few amount of walks issued by the pitchers. I admit I have not looked closely or added them up to do a BB/9, but it seems like they are down. Free passes matter in the bottom line.

For the negatives, I agree with Reese - I am a bit worried about Marte. I think Lindor will be fine, but Marte might find it hard to come all the way back from his M.I.A. season last year.

Just a couple notes about the negatives in the list. I am in the let Baty play camp. I just think that if he is given the everyday job and gets into the year, he will come around. As documented in other spaces, there are many examples of players that took several hundred at-bats to really get the hang of major league pitching. I think Baty will come around. For some reason, I am not quite as bullish on Vientos. While I am not questioning his power, I am not sure he can cut down the K rate enough to get his batting average high enough to be a keeper bat.

Last thought - pulling out one player from the Number 1 Negatve paragaraph. I think Harrison Bader is in fact slated to become more or less the starting center fielder and I like how his bat has come around of late. I have not watched any full games, but saw a couple clips of recent Bader at-bats - I really like that swing - it seems to be quick and compact - at least in those two clips, it looked like a swing that will work well. Now if they can just keep him healthy.