5/6/23

Reese Kaplan -- Ever Wish You Could Get a Major Do-Over?

Let's play a pretend game.  We all grew up wishing we were fireman or pilots or doctors even though we knew it wasn't real.  As grownups we play similar games to pretend to be more successful than we really are, or to live in the most desirable property in the area.


Today's "let's pretend" game is about the New York Mets.  For purposes of this exercise the rules are that Opening Day for the 2023 baseball season is actually on the date of May 5th.  Yes, it's a weird campaign for this baseball chase to the pennant, but at a record of .500 the season begins anew.  So going into the modified 2023 season, what must the Mets do to make themselves into a competitive, pennant-chasing ballclub?

First, let's assume for the moment that the starting pitching staff is headed by a pair of multi Cy Young Award winners in Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander.  Regardless of how the former has pitched of late and despite the fact the latter gave up 2 first innning runs on the way to a loss for which he was virtually unhittable afterwards, pretty much all 29 other teams in baseball would be ecstatic to have them in their rotation.

After that comes Japanese import Kodai Senga.  He's been more good than bad, but he's also demonstrated an ability to dominate hitters.  It's a matter of adjustment that hopefully is a short term thing and he too would be welcome in most of the other major league teams.

After that it gets a bit murkier in the starting quintet.  With Carlos Carrasco and Jose Quintana still both down for the count, it leaves the 4th and 5th starter roles up to Joey Lucchesi and Tylor Megill.  The jury is still out on both as relatively long term solutions, but this pair has actually pitched better than any of the alternatives the team has tried up until this point.  Right now both men are pitching for their major league lives since Jose Butto and David Peterson are both heading up the Syracuse rotation.  With Carrasco's return imminent, one of them has to go (unless, of course, that one of them is kept around and pushed into the bullpen).  


The seemingly equal issue going forward is the way the offense is constructed for this new 2023 season.  Many fans are highly encouraged by what Brett Baty and Francisco Alvarez have started doing with their bats.  That enthusiasm leads these folks to feel that Mark Vientos is the next missing piece needed to push the team over the top.  It may or may not be true, but at this point unless the club is planning a wholesale cleaning of the outfield and DH positions, there is precious little place for Vientos to get at-bats.

As most folks see it, Vientos is pretty much a DH-only option as first base and third base are already occupied.  He has made a very brief appearance earlier in his career as an outfielder and it wasn't pretty.  Think Todd Hundley as a defensive disaster.  


So if his future swinging the bat depends on him getting up to the plate regularly, being a right-handed only DH pairing with Daniel Vogelbach doesn't solve that problem.  Vientos would only play against left handed pitching which would limit Vientos to perhaps 2 starts per week.  Then if he doesn't develop a rhythm as a batter by playing so little folks will be ready to send him on the first Uber pointed towards Syracuse.

No, if you see Vientos as a potential solid contributor in the majors then you need to create the role for him to play regularly.  That would mean force feeding him into an outfield position in place of Mark Canha who earns too much money to sit on the bench.  Or it would mean telling popular but one dimensional Daniel Vogelbach that he is a substitute off the bench and a pinch hitter.  The dollars would make this approach more palatable as the big man only rakes in $1.5 million in salary.  Taking a quasi-successful DH (with limited HR power, oddly enough) out of this role to gamble that Vientos is ready to assume full time major league duty would require both courage and a gambler's penchant for better on the longshots.  

Perhaps the better bet is to attempt to trade away Vogelbach as Eduardo Escobar becomes a viable backup player should Vientos fail to deliver.  For now, however, it would seem that the new 2023 Mets season is verifiably Vientos-free.

8 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Read this AM that Vientos is on the radar. Get him up here and ease him in, because the next move, possibly I am guessing in June or July, is to call up scorching Mauricio, who is now a 2B. McNeil likely would slide to the outfield and my guess is Canha, Guillorme, Escobar, Pham and Vogie at bats will be scaled back, or one or more of those players gone. We like Luis, but he is stuck on 2 RBIs and 7 runs scored.

Mack Ade said...

Marte is proving more every day that he needs days off.

Vientos' strong arm makes him a candidate for both corner relief.

Add to that some DH games, and there is plenty for him to do in Queens

bill metsiac said...

I didn't realize that Mark had been tried in the OF (and failed) in the past. I suspect that it was over 2 years ago, when he was under 20. Too soon to give up. Try him in LF upstate and see if he can at least reach Schwarber level.

I hate to limit a young player to being a DH or backup to a star who rarely takes a day off.

It's sounding more and more like his future is on another team .

Gary Seagren said...

We need more power and DH is where it shoud come from sorry Vogy but wouldn't Vientos and or Mauricio be a better bet. Schwarber had 200K's last year and hit only .218 but hit 46 HR's with 94 RBI. Now I'm not saying either would do that but full time at DH is it crazy to think we could get maybe 30 and 80 with less K's and alittle better avg. but of course we actually need to try it first.

Gary Seagren said...

Also isn't it time to move on from Nido? I didn't think I could see a more pathetic showing than McCann but Tomas has proven that yes you can as in OMG enough already and Buck please I don't wwnt to hear how much pitchers like to throw to him. Alvy everyday Buck.

Woodrow said...

Mets seem to feel (know) that good arm or not Vientos isn’t an OFer. Bite the bullet and DH him. Despite a good OPS Vogelbach is batting 7th and not contributing much.
. Carry 12 pitchers instead of 13.

Mack Ade said...

If Alvarez is good enough for Max and Verlander than let him be the starter behind the plate

Rds 900. said...

The only way Vientos can be brought up is after Vogelbach is moved.