1/7/13

WAR to the 2013 Playoffs, Johan Santana, Marr Garrioch Mock

5 comments


Start dreaming, Mets fans.

Mark Simon over at ESPN has come up with a way for the Mets to make the 2013 playoff.

Using rWAR (click here to understand what WAR ishere's what he came up with

What's Needed From The Core
To Make Playoffs in 2013

WAR
David Wright7.0
Ike Davis3.0
Ruben Tejada2.5
Daniel Murphy2.5
Travis d'Arnaud2.5

Jonathon Niese4.0
Matt Harvey3.0
Zack Wheeler2.0

What's Needed in 2013
For Mets to Make Playoffs

WAR
Lucas Duda2.0
Kirk Nieuwenhuis1.0
Player X1.5
Collin Cowgill1.0
Justin Turner0.5
John Buck0.5

Dillon Gee2.0
Pitcher X1.0
Frank Francisco1.0
Bobby Parnell1.0
Josh Edgin0.5
Jeremy Hefner0.5
Jeurys Familia0.5
Jenrry Mejia0.5


Picture by Mack Ade


Nick Cafardo wrote in the Boston Globe:


Johan Santana, LHP, Mets, Vernon Wells, OF, Angels, and Alfonso Soriano, OF, Cubs — Their teams would love to move them, and are willing to pick up most of the freight. The Mets would help pay the $31 million left on Santana’s deal. As teams start to round off rotations, he could be a good fifth arm.

I just don’t see this at this point in the pre-season. Right now, the Mets don’t have a 5-man rotation with Santana. Why would you want to pay the lion share of someone you need on the mound every five days? Now, keep him and pitch him every 6th day so he’s still healthy come the all-star break. Then, go call some of those agent that represent some of those outfielders I mentioned yesterday that become free agents come October. Work out a verbal sign-and-trade with both the agent and the club and go get yourself someone like David Murphy, Coco Crisp, Rajai Davis, Jacoby Ellsbury, Curtis Granderson, Chris Young, Shin-Soo Choo, or David DeJesus


Matt Garrioch  over at Minor League Ball did have an interesting spin on the upcoming draft in June. He believes that Houston will start off the draft by once again under-slotting like they did a year ago. His first pick overall was SS Chris Rivera, not one of the big names everyone else keeps projecting (Mark Appel, Austin Meadows, Clint Frazier, Sean Manaea). His Mets pick was RHP Jon Crawford, who I have projected out to become a reliever. I hope he’s wrong about this one.

5 comments:

Justin M. said...

I thought this was interesting. Never really crossed my mind before:
inevitably the performance of your pitchers as hitters and those additional call-ups/acquisitions who don’t perform well is probably going to be about 7.5 wins (the five NL playoff teams lost an average of 7.4 to sub-replacement performance last season).

Mack Ade said...

It was interesting.

Many of us bloggers are pretty bored right now and are looking at this team in every direction we can.

I will continue my morning report, but, as you see, no one else is writing anything anymore. I continue to recruit for writers but it is what it is.

Hopefully, things will heat up come April 1st

Michi L. said...

Hey Mack are you going to have an own Mets 2013 prospect list?

Mack Ade said...

sure Michi...

I'll start working on it tonight...I get off work at 11pm

Michi L. said...

GREAT!!!

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