1/9/14

Mack’s Morning Report – 1-9 – SP5 Candidates




Sandy Alderson told Adam Rubin: -

…the Mets also hope to add a fifth-starter competitor — “probably” on a minor-league contract — to compete with Jenrry Mejia and the prospects in camp. “We’re looking at that possibility,” Alderson said.         

            So, what’s left out there:

                        David Axelrod – 28 – NR – CWS - $493K –

                                    2013 – 4-11, 5.68, 1.66, 5.1 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, -0.3/WAR

                        Scott Baker – 32 – NR – Cubs - $5.5mil –

                                    2013 – 0-0, 3.60 (3-G), 1.17, 3.6 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 0.2-WAR

                        Erik Bedard – 34 – NR – Astros - $1.15mil –

                                    2013 – 4-12, 4.59, 1.48, 8.2 K/9, 4.5 BB/9, 0.9-WAR

                        A.J. Burnett – 37 – 10th – Pirates – $16.5mil –

                                    2013 – 10-11, 3.30, 1.21, 9.8 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 1.7-WAR

                        Chris Capuano – 35 – NR – LAD – $6mil –

                                    2013 – 4-7, 4.26, 1.41, 6.9 K/9, 2.0 BB/9, -0.6-WAR

                        Scott Downs – 37 – NR – Atl – $5mil –

                                    2013 – 2-1, 3.86, 1.92, 9.6 K/9, 5.1 BB/9, 0.1-WAR

                        Jeff Francis – 36 – NR – Texas – $1.5mil –

                                    2013 – 3-5, 6.27, 1.61, 8.1 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, -0.8--WAR

                        Freddy Garcia – 37- NR – Atl - $1.3mil -  

                                    2013 – 1-2, 1.65, 1.02, 6.6 K/9, 1.6 BB/9. 0.9-WAR

                        Matt Garza – 30 – 11th – Texas – $10.25mil

                                    2013 – 4-5, 4.38, 1.31, 7.9 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, -0.1-WAR

                        Jason Hammel – 31 – 43rd – Balt – $6.75mil –

                                    2013 – 7-8, 4.97, 1.45, 6.2 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 0.0-WAR

                        Tommy Hanson – 27- NR – LAA – $3725mil –

                                    2013 – 4-3, 5.42, 1.54, 6.9 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, -0.5-WAR

                        Aaron Harang – 35 – NR – Mets – $7mil –

                                    2013 – 0-0 ,3.52, 1.39, 10.2 K/9, 4.7 BB/9, 0.2-WAR

                        Jeff Karstens – 31 – NR – Pirates – $2.5mil –

                                    2013 – 5-4, 3.97, 1.14, 6.6 K/9, 1.5 BB/9, 0.8-WAR

                        John Lannan – 29 – NR – Philly – $2.5mil –

                                    2013 – 3-6, 5.33, 1.52, 4.6 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, -0.2-WAR

                        Colby Lewis – 34 – NR – Texas – $2mil –

                                    2013 – 6-6, 3.43, 1.07, 8.0 K/9, 1.2 BB/9, -0.6-WAR

                        Paul Maholm – 31 – NR – Atl – $6.5mil –

                                    2013 – 10-11, 4.41, 1.41, 6.2 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, -0.1-WAR

                        Jason Marquis – 35 – NR – San Diego – $3mil –

                                    2013 – 9-5, 4.05, 1.52, 5.5 K/9, 5.2 BB/9. -0.1-WAR

                        Daisuke Matsuzaka – 33 – NR – Mets – $10mil –

                                    2013 – 3-3, 4.42, 1.24, 7.7 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, -0.1-WAR

                        Luis Mendoza – 30 – NR – KC – $532K –

                                    2013 – 2-6, 5.36, 1.58, 5.2 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, -1.0/WAR

                        Jeff Niemann – 30 – NR – Rays – $3mil –

                                    2013 – D/L

                        Roy Oswalt – 36 – NA – Colo – $2.3mil –

                                    2013 – 0-6, 8.63, 1.79, 9.5 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, -0.9-WAR

                        Greg Reynolds – 28 – NR – Reds – $450K –

                                    2013 – 1-3, 5.52, 1.46, 4.0 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, -0.3-WAR

                        Clayton Richards – 30 – NR – San Diego – $5.24mil –

                                    2013 – 2-5, 7.01, 1.63, 4.1 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, -1.7-WAR

                        Ervin Santana – 31 -6th – KC – $13mil –

                                    2013 – 9-10, 3.24, 1.14, 6.9 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, 2.9-WAR

                        Johan Santana – 34 – NA – Mets – $25.5mil –

                                    2013 – D/L

                        Joe Saunders – 32 – NR – Seattle – $6.5mil –

                                    2013 – 11-16, 5.26, 1.60, 5.3 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, -0.3-WAR

                        Tsuyoshi Wada – 32 – NR – Balt – $4.2mil –

                                    2013 – (AAA) 5-6, 4.03, 1.42, 7.0 K/9, 3.1 BB/

                        Jerome Williams – 32 – NR – LAA – $2mil –

                                    2013 – 9-10, 4.57, 1.39, 5.7 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 0.4-WAR

                        Barry Zito – 35 – NR – Giants - $20mil -

                                    2013 – 5-11, 5.74, 1.70, 5.8 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, -2.6-WAR

9 comments:

Tommybb said...

it is very revealing when you see a list like this - revealing that being a GM is a tough job. lots of choices you listed, rule out the expensive ones, and there are still plenty left. A wrong decision could mess up your season (see Sean Marcum circa 2013).

I would go with a filler guy, hope for health from your starters early on, and then be ready to tap into Degrom, Noah, and Montero as soon as financially advantageous. Mets are a long shot in 2014 to contend without Harvey, and what will keep fan interest (and attendance) up is bringing up touted minor leaguers. Nothing worse than a retread like Marcum - I never thought, "wow, he is pitching tonight...cancel all of our other plans, honey." I'll be intrigued to watch Noah, Montero, and DeGrom, though.

greg b said...

Rember we have 2 pitchers if healthy would be in most teams top 10 in Fulmer and Luis Mateo. Hopefully they have a healthy season and Tapia improves his contol.

Mack Ade said...

Tommy -

All great points.

What the Mets will need is an innings eater. Mejia will not give them that.

Reese Kaplan said...

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't you only need Mejia for 1/2 of a season's worth of innings? Once the Super Two deadline passes and the Mets are thusly encouraged to promote players like Montero and Syndergaard then those pitchers could/would replace Mejia in the rotation if his surgically repaired arm's duct tape is coming loose.

Mack Ade said...

'On paper' last year Marcum was going to solve things and Harvey would never go down.

The real problem the Mets have is the number of starters they have 'on paper' in Vegas:

Rafael Montero
Noah Syndergaard
Darin Gorski
Jake deGrom
Cory Mazzoni
Logan Verrett
Mark Cohoon
Chris Schwinden
Erik Goeddel
Giancarlo Alvarado
Mitch Talbot

Tommyb said...

I think that DeGrom, Noah, and Montero will all be ready as soon in 2014 as the Mets need them - holding the latter 2 back until perhaps June will be a money decision.

Good to bring up Mateo and Fulmer, but Luis only had his TJ surgery in June or July, so I cannot possibly see him having a Met impact until late 2015. Fulmer missed a lot of time with a few injuries, so I'd say the soonest we'd see him is Super 2 June 2015, Matz maybe also for late 2015, or Super 2 June 2016.

They had to have thought a lot of Mateo to have him, after one just one great start in 2013 in St Lucie, pitch as a fill in starter in early 2013 in AA, when he was only in Bklyn the year before. Some leap. He intrigues me, and I hope this surgery really fixes what ailed him.

Ernest Dove said...

The obvious hope is that the Mets pick a veteran who can be traded, along with Colon, for some top prospects this coming season..keep stocking up the farm system.

Mack Ade said...

Mateo has changed his name once and his age two times.

He has intrigued a lot of people.

Tommyb said...

True on name and age - in fact, I just heard the other day that he and Bartolo Colon were high school classmates (just kidding - I think). His next name change can be "the Pitcher Formerly Known as Luis"