12/9/14

Tom Brennan - MAJORING ON THE MINORS - A LOOK AT THE 2011 METS DRAFT

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2011 METS DRAFT – HOW ARE THEY DOING?
by Tom Brennan

 Here’s a quick recap of the 2011 draft.  37 draftees were signed. 
 
Archie Bunker is a Met fan and asked how they doin’ dere, Edith, hah?

Well, let's find out, Arch.
Each draft year deserves to be evaluated, and fans for a long time were upset with the #1 round Nimmo pick when Fernandez was available.  But he is progressing at an age-appropriate pace.
That said, I think the 2011 Mets’ draft is shaping up to be a fruitful one in terms of moderate major league future talent. 
Twelve key guys, IMO:
·       3 nearly ready guys who can be high impact in a year or 2 – Brandon Nimmo, Cory Mazzoni, Jack Leathersich.

·       4 moderately promising talents in Danny Muno, Logan Verrett, Tyler Pill, and Michael Fulmer. 

·       5 guys who could lead to pleasant surprises within a few years, such as Xorge Carillo, Travis Taijeron, Dustin Lawley, John Gant and Robert Gsellman.

·       And as always, a few other guys who have done well – see below.

Let’s look over the list:

                                                   

Name
Pos
B/T
Ht
Wt
DOB
Rd
My
Rating
Why So?
OF
L / R
6' 3"
205
03/27/1993
1
 
1-2
As much as I am inclined to go along with the crowd, his struggles adjusting to higher levels and his high K rate has me wondering if his ceiling is MLB star, or Matt den Dekker/Kirk. Winter ball struggles.
RHP
R / R
6' 3"
200
03/15/1993
3
Injuries have held this high pick back from developing any true momentum.  Results to date? meh
RHP
R / R
6' 1"
200
10/19/1989
2
2
Injury-bugged, so only 300 innings to date, but a strong closeout in Las Vegas in 2014 makes me think he can be a pen arm in 2015, maybe a valuable trade chip. In some orgs, he might be #1 pitching prospect. 24-12 career.
RHP
R / R
6' 2"
190
06/19/1990
3
2-3
Fine 2014 season in Vegas: 11-5, 4.33 in 28 starts.  Not a big K pitcher and surrendered 17 HRs.  As with Mazzoni, he might be #1 pitching prospect. 28-13 career.  Trade chip?
RHP
L / R
6' 1"
185
05/29/1990
4
2-3
20-11, 3.53, 256 Ks in 270 career innings.  Hits a ton for a pitcher. Be further along, except only 19 innings in 2013.  Vegas in 2015.  Another possible trade chip.
LHP
R / L
5' 11"
200
07/14/1990
5
2
Jack doesn’t get enough love from Metophiles.  197 inn, 334 Ks, 3.42.  Not a closer, but only saved 1 of 5 opportunities in 2014. 1.36 WHIP.
He’d be a major league pen guy for many teams on opening day.
OF
L / R
6' 0"
185
10/17/1992
6
5
Only up to Bklyn.  Career .228/.309/.308.
3B
L / R
6' 2"
210
03/13/1990
7
5
Only up to St Lucie.  Career .237/.324/.345.
SS
S / R
5' 11"
190
02/09/1989
8
2-3
Career .276/.395/.419, 52 steals 241 runs, 192 RBIs in about 1600 plate appearances.  Impresses me. Mediocre D.  I think we see real Danny in 2015 in Vegas. A chip?
LHP
L / L
6' 2"
235
07/07/1990
9
Released
 Career 17-20, 1.51 WHIP, 4.35.  Not good enough performance to stay in highly competitive Met system.
RHP
R / R
6' 2"
150
09/30/1992
Retired
Last played in 2012. 1-3, 2.97 ERA career in just 36 innings.
RHP
R / R
6' 1"
230
11/20/1992
5
Only 13 innings prior to 2014, and a rocky 2014 in K Port (33 inn, 32 BBs, 43 Ks, 6.48).  Make or break in 2015
RHP
R / R
6' 4"
200
07/18/1993
3
Strong 2014 in Savannah for the 21 yr old.  10-6, 2.55, 92 Ks in 116 inn. Next year s/b telling for him.
C
R / R
6' 1"
220
04/12/1989
2-3
Solid hitting catcher, doing well in off season ball, where he plays a lot to offset sparse in-season at bats.  In 2013 & 14, .283/.347/.350.
SS
R / R
5' 10"
185
09/10/1992
3-4
Best year yet in 2014 in St Lucie, .250/.317/.321, but trailing his Met middle infield competition.
SS
R / R
6' 1"
185
12/14/1992
Retired
Sparse play in 2012 and 2013; did not play in 2014. .254/.293/.351
OF
L / R
6' 1"
180
09/28/1990
Retired
Ditto.  Career .188/.295/.233
OF
R / R
6' 2"
200
01/20/1989
3
Overachiever. AA in 2014.     Career 1332 AB’s, .265/.363/.505. 424 K in 389 games.
3B
R / R
6' 1"
205
04/11/1989
3
Overachiever. AA in 2014.     Career 1661 AB’s, .258/.315/.470. 421 Ks in 437 games.
 
RHP
R / R
6' 3"
175
08/06/1992
2-3
Overachiever. Pitched in Savannah in 2014. Career 20-14, 252 Ks in 262 innings, 1.26 WHIP.
C
R / R
6' 4"
195
09/30/1993
3
Up to Bklyn in 2014.  Career .260/.302/.393 in 496 Abs.
1B
R / R
6' 0"
200
08/01/1989
Retired
Hit .241/.327/.394 in K Port 2011
RHP
R / R
6' 4"
220
01/01/1989
Retired
1-1, 4.20 in Bklyn in 2011.
RHP
R / R
6' 1"
205
05/18/1989
3-4
Overachiever. Split 2014 in A and AA. Career 15-15, 13 Sv, 234 Ks in 227 inn, 3.72 ERA, 1.29 WHIP.
SS
R / R
6' 1"
170
08/25/1988
Retired
Hit .279 up to Savannah in 2013.
SS
L / R
5' 8"
170
04/29/1989
Retired
34 at bats in K Port in 2011.
SS
L / R
6' 1"
180
08/05/1993
Inactive
Never played for Mets.
LHP
R / R
6' 4"
185
11/17/1989
2
Overachiever. Pitched in St L in 2014.  Career 17-11, 3 Sv, 224 Ks in 218 inn, 3.80 ERA, 1.26 WHIP. Missed 2012.
LHP
R / R
6' 1"
230
08/05/1989
2
Overachiever. Pitched in AA and AAA in 2014. Career 17-12, 24 Sv, 205 Ks in 226 innings, 1.19 WHIP.
1B
R / R
6' 2"
195
09/19/1988
Retired
2011 in GCL, hit .205
LHP
R / R
6' 4"
175
08/05/1993
Released
Pitched in 2011, 13 , 14; 7.43 ERA
in Kingsport in 2014
LHP
R / R
6' 1"
205
09/26/1989
Retired
2011 in K Port; 1-0, .386, 19 inn.
OF
L / L
6' 4"
220
12/28/1989
Retired
Topped out in St L.  Hit .237
LHP
L / L
6' 2"
200
05/31/1989
Retired
2011 in K Port; Padres org in 2012: 5-3, 4.01 career
OF
R / R
6' 6"
195
01/03/1989
Retired
Topped out in Savannah: .249
LHP
R / R
6' 3"
215
12/14/1988
Retired
14.1 minor league innings
C
R / R
6' 0"
205
08/15/1988
Retired
Topped out in Bklyn.  Hit .238

RATING SCALE:

1 – future impact major leaguer and performing at a high level

2 – future major leaguer – unclear if he will be an impact player

3 – decent shot at making it to the big enchilada in some capacity

4 – long shot to make the majors

5 – extremely long shot to make the majors

Some guys, I split between 2 ratings.  Couldn’t make up my mind!

Archie Bunker gave this year’s draft 3 Meatheads on a scale of 1-4.

Whaddya think?  Have a great day.

5 comments:

Reese Kaplan said...

The draft is kosher but you need to do something about the meathead who fills out the lineup card otherwise they're all destined to rot.

Mack Ade said...

Reese -

It's too early for me (and all of us) to give our annual prediction, but I think it is safe to say that this is the last year TC will be the manager of the Mets.

Lew Rhodes said...

Love these articles.

I think Fulmer will be pretty good - I am hoping he has a break out year this year.

Mazzoni would be much more touted if we didn't have Thor and Matz - he strikes me as a future Parnell.

Reese Kaplan said...

@Mack

4 years too late. After his first losing campaign they held an option. They could have just let him slink away then with his tail between his legs. The front office has no one to blame but themselves for saddling this team with Terry Collins.

As soon as he said last year he was intentionally benching younger players in favor of veterans (something anyone with eyes had seen long before his admission of doing it) he should have been fired on the spot.

Thomas Brennan said...

Hey, Reese

Terry Collins has a "Bunker Mentality" with his veterans. Hunker down and take a beating with the tried-and-true. Hopefully we get a better manager real soon. I hope his touting of Tejada was to optimize his trade value, because I think they'd be far better off in getting rid of him before April to show they are serious about trying to win, and not keep hoping some mediocre guy is going to figure it out and be above average as a starter.

Unless they look elsewhere, Flores is my opening day SS. Tejada can buy a ticket if he wants to attend opening day.

Lew, Mazzoni would already be in the majors if he was staying healthy. He WILL be good, likely in the pen. Hopefully, Fulmer stays healthy and starts to show the promise that Matz has been oozing for the past 2 years.

Mack's Mets © 2012