6/6/25

MACK - My Friday Observations: Mets Futures: Catcher - Jett, 2015 NLDS Game 5, Trade Deadline (Rotation), Holmes, Lindor

 


Mets Futures – Catcher 

We didn’t think the Mets had to deal with this position, long past when Francisco Lindor‘s contract ran out. But maybe they do.

Another Francisco, named Alvarez, just isn’t panning out the way we all thought he would. He came to New York as a 20/year old and everybody says he had one hell of a great year in 2023 because of the amount of home runs he hit. Does anyone remember he hit .209 in 382-ABs? His lifetime major league batting average is just above .230. And, though he hit 25 home runs in 2023, he followed that with only 11 last season and has only one so far in 2025.

The Mets are far away from putting this position to bed.

But, this wasn’t going to be a problem because the Mets also drafted another killer catcher in the first round just in case a scenario developed like this one. Hell, I’m not even gonna mention this dud’s name.

The good news is the Mets have a very capable additional catcher… no longer a backup… this season in Luis Torrens. He’s hit better than Alvarez… in fact, in May, he led all Mets batters in wRC+. And,

 he deals up a better defensive game. The pitchers love him and he doesn’t hit free agency until 2027. Cool beans.

They also have a very capable, defense-minded backup, currently in AAA-Syracuse, in Hayden Senger. He hasn’t been in the majors since April and he still is ranked 5th in defensive runs saved. He also is still under team control and will be into the next decade.

Frankly, this might be enough for next season if the Mets continue to add more exciting bats to this lineup each season. Alvarez made us all drool thinking we had another Mike Piazza behind the plate. At this point, he could be just a Mike Fitzgerald, or Mike Nickeas.

Past this is, well, sort of exciting.

There are five catchers in the chain to keep an eye on:

Chris Suero/Brooklyn – 21/years old. Right now, probably the most exciting because he also plays a very capable first base and left field. In a housing Born and raised in a housing project in the Bronx. Signed for a 10/K bonus. Cyclones’ manager Gilbert Gomez said that Suero “the traits of a leader”.  

Through 6-1:     136-AB, 8-HR, 32-RBI, 16-SB, 20-BB, 49-K, .243/.385/.471/.855

Ronald Hernandez/Brooklyn – 21/years old. SH  5-11  170. Signed by Marlins as 2021 IFA ($850K). Traded to Mets July 2023 (along with IF Marco Vargas) for RP David Robertson.

2021-23, Marlins: 

    DSL:   .209/.365/.358, 31-BB, 32-K – showed strong plate discipline

    FCL:   .298/.464/.452 (before trade)

2023/FCL Mets:

             .286/.509/.486, 15-BB, 10-K

        Low-A:   .172/.333/.241

Overall 2023:    .294/.472/

Through 6-1:    135/AB, 4-HR, 27-RBI, 15.BB, 37-K, .259/.342/.400/.742

     Mack – My favorite. His boom is really starting to boom.

Daiverson Guiterrez – 19/years old.   5-11    210   RHH   RHT

2023 IFA ($1.9mil of total $5,284 bonus pool)

2024/DSL Blue:  .300/.472/.475 but in only 40-AB

          FCL:            .317/.463/.537, 41-AB

         St. Lucie:    .111/.111/.222, 27-AB

 Overall 2024:    .8.4% K-rate, reduced from 17.1% in 2023

Through 6-1:    130-AB, 3-HR, 16-RBI, 21-BB, 23-K, .215/.342/.300/.642

Noted for above-average arm strength

Projected for 25+ HR

Needs to refine blocking and receiving

    Mack – Off to an embarrassing start this season, based on money paid here

Julio Zayas/FCL -  

19/years old    5-11    190    RHP

2023 IFA

2023/DSL -     .885-OPS, 7-HR, 22-XBH

    Demonstrated notable power for age

   Showed capability behind the plate

    Also logged 84.2 innings at 3B and 39 innings at 1B

2024/FCL:      109-AB, 3-HR, 17-RBI, 18-BB, 22-K, .239/.354/.367/.721

2025/FCL: (thru 6-2)  48-AB, 1-HR, 6-RBI, 7-BB, 6-K, .313/.411/.458/.869

    Mack – yes, he is repeating the FCL level, but the kid is only 19 and he’s hitting .313, with an .869-OPS. I’ll take it.

Yadier Fuentes

Just recently signed as IFA. 


Jett Williams

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6394999/2025/06/02/minor-league-scouting-aidan-miller-max-anderson-jett-williams/

The Mets’ Double-A affiliate, the Binghamton Rumble Ponies, were in town, and their top prospect at the moment, shortstop Jett Williams, was leading off. He looked very good at the plate, like his injury-marred 2024 season never happened, driving the ball well and running plus again. It’s a big swing for a fun-sized guy — the Rumble Ponies had two players in their lineup who were 5-foot-6, Williams and Wyatt Young, so I felt seen — and Williams is going to have to max out his strength to make this swing work; otherwise it’s a lot of flyouts, because he swings like he’s going to hit it 450 feet. He doesn’t chase much at all, and he barely puts the ball on the ground, which are good things as long as you have enough juice for those balls in the air to at least be doubles, not outs. He can play shortstop, but that’s academic as long as he’s in the Mets’ system.


MLB’s 25 best games of the 2000s

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6388908/2025/05/30/best-mlb-games-2000s-ranking/

16. 2015 NLDS Game 5: Mets 3, Dodgers 2

Before he cut his hair and emerged as an overpowering two-time Cy Young Award winner, this was the night that Jacob deGrom established himself as one of the game’s best pitchers. Without anything resembling his best stuff, deGrom danced through trouble all night. He allowed two Dodgers runs on four straight hits in the first inning, and Los Angeles put a runner on second base with less than two outs in the second, third, fourth and fifth frames. DeGrom stranded the runner(s) each time, proving even low-scoring games could be full of action.

On the other side, Daniel Murphy was just starting his run as an October hero. Murphy drove home the Mets’ first run, scored their second (after advancing two bases on a walk) and hit the go-ahead homer off Zack Greinke in the sixth. Noah Syndergaard and Jeurys Familia finished what deGrom started.


What might New York need at the trade deadline?

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6396693/2025/06/02/this-week-in-mets-trade-deadline-needs/

How good will Mets feel about top half of rotation?

The Mets are where they are with that offense because of the way their pitching staff has performed. New York’s rotation has finally fallen behind the Rangers for the best ERA in baseball, but its 2.91 ERA is still the best in the NL by more than half a run.

The Mets have proven in these first two months that they possess enviable starting depth: Griffin Canning and Tylor Megill were supposed to fight it out for the sixth spot in the rotation, and instead they’ve both pitched exceedingly well every fifth day. The question is how good the top half of the Mets’ rotation can be.

In other words, who do the Mets want to trust come October?

As good as New York’s rotation pitched down the stretch and into the early rounds last year, it wasn’t up to the task against the Dodgers’ star-studded lineup in the NLCS. Frankie Montas and Sean Manaea should return before the All-Star break, and by then, the Mets will have a better read on the sustainability of what Kodai Senga, Clay Holmes, David Peterson, Canning and Megill have done.

No, right here, right now, it doesn’t look like the Mets will be in the market for an ace at the deadline. (It’s also up in the air how many purported aces will be on the market.) But the Mets should be in position to start contemplating the best playoff roster they can build, and the top part of the rotation could be in that conversation.


Eno Sarris’ MLB starting pitcher rankings for the rest of 2025

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6375745/2025/06/03/sarris-mlb-starting-pitcher-rankings-rest-of-2025-season/

#37                 Clay Holmes

102 Stuff+                3.44 ppERA  

Stuff+                        102

Location+                 103

Pitching+                  106

Proj. IP                      149

ppERA                       3.44

ppK%                         23.10%


Early MLB All-Star team picks

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6401037/2025/06/04/mlb-all-star-team-predictions-2025/

Francisco Lindor, Mets (starter) — Lindor leads all shortstops with 14 home runs and has put up an .854 OPS while stealing 10 bases in 12 attempts and playing plus defense.




4 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

And of course Lindor has a broken pinky toe. On a HBP. On a team that gets hit TOO MUCH.

Tom Brennan said...

Catchers good. .alvarez mystifying. Yovanny hurt. Wonder when he returns.

Mack Ade said...

Lindor is a gamer.. he will play through this

Alvarez?

He would demand 60 day

Mack Ade said...

I no longer have any answer for Alvy