6/29/25

2025 Draft Prospect - #12 - SS/RHP - Billy Carlson - Corona hS (CA)

 


On 12-5-24, MLB.com posted their top 100 prospects in the upcoming draft. Beginning 2-2-25, we will post it in backward order, ending with the pick for 1.1

 

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/2025/draft/ -

#12          Billy Carlson

SS/RHP   Corona (CA)

18/years old

6' 1"      160

COMMITTED - Tennessee

Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 50 | Run: 55 | Arm: 65 | Field: 60 | Overall: 55

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 50 | Overall: 50

The 2025 Draft class is deep in southern California and Corona High School will be a regular stop all spring, with three potential first-round picks on the team that won USA Baseball’s National High School Invitational last year. Carlson is a legitimate two-way talent who showed off skills at shortstop and on the mound at a variety of summer showcase events including the Area Code Games and Major League Baseball’s High School All-American Game to move himself into what seems like surefire opening round consideration.

All summer, Carlson impressed with his athleticism and bat speed from the right side of the plate. It’s more of a line-drive approach at present with a good swing, but he has the chance to grow into more impact and average or better power. There’s an up arrow next to his run tool as he’s worked to get faster and could be a plus runner in time. Even with all of his offensive upside, his glove might be ahead of his bat, with some scouts putting as high as a 70 on his arm strength and defensive actions at shortstop.

On the mound, Carlson has shown a fastball consistently up to 95-96 mph with plus feel for spinning a breaking ball. There are some who like him even better on the hill. His five-tool potential at a premium position might be what gets the Tennessee recruit selected in the top half of the first round, though his age at Draft time (19) might rule out some teams.

 

2-26-25 –

MLB mock draft 2025: Projecting first round for 2025 MLB Draft

https://sportsnaut.com/mlb/mlb-analysis/lists/mlb-mock-draft-2025/  

9. Cincinnati Reds: Billy Carlson, SS, Corona HS

Billy Carlson could have a future either as a right-handed pitcher or an everyday player, but his long-term outlook might be best suited on the infield. Turning 19 a few weeks after the 2025 MLB Draft, Carlson’s best tools are his arm strength and fielding abilities, but his hit tool and power have the ceiling of being above average, too. There might not be a sky-high ceiling with Carlson, but the Cincinnati Reds would certainly love to have a well-rounded middle infielder whose power could play even better at Great American Ballpark.

 

2-25-25 - 2025 MLB Draft: A closer look at the top 20 high school prospects entering the spring

https://www.usatodayhss.com/story/sports/high-school/2025/02/25/2025-mlb-draft-top-20-high-school-prospects/80279242007/  

7. Billy Carlson, SS/RHP, Corona (California)

Another two-way player, he’s been up to 97 mph on the mound with a very good changeup and curveball to compliment. And he’s a very good hitter, with a great contact rate. But he really turns heads in the field as arguably the best defensive shortstop in the draft.

 

2-10-25

FLO Baseball - 2025 MLB Mock Draft 1.0-

https://www.flobaseball.tv/articles/13555752-2025-mlb-mock-draft-10-nats-stunner-with-the-no-1-pick  

No. 11 Athletics: Billy Carlson, SS/ RHP, Corona, California

The first pick of the Athletics since moving from Oakland is the possible two-way player from California with high upside, both as an upper-90s throwing RHP and a slick fielding shortstop.

The 6-foot-1, 165-pound Carlson could sneak into the top 10, depending what

 

2-3-25 –

https://futurestarsseries.com/mlb-draft-top-150-high-school-prospects-ethan-holliday/?s=03

1. Billy Carlson, SS -- Corona (Ca.)

HOMETOWN: Corona, California

HEIGHT: 6-1

WEIGHT: 176

BAT/THROW: R-R

COMMIT: Tennessee

Carlson is polished beyond his years at the plate with supreme pitch recognition and boasts strong bat-to-ball numbers against advanced velocity and tough breaking balls. Passivity early in counts has gotten him into too many pitchers' counts in the past, and strikeout numbers have been streaky because of it, but most scouts believe he has fallen victim to poor umpiring more than anything at times throughout his amateur career. Folks who have paid close attention to his game have never doubted the plan at the plate. He hits the ball on the ground a touch more than scouts would like to see, but it's something evaluators expect to improve with continued maturation and strength. He's always hit the ball with authority, especially for his size. A lean, wiry frame, Carlson projects to add weight and impact as he develops and could eventually blossom into above-average raw power, though he's made it an emphasis to stay athletic and twitchy at this stage in his career.

Carlson has a very strong arm that rivals some of the better high school shortstops of the last decade. It's comfortably plus and will play at the next level. Coupled with a soft glove and clean actions, Carlson has a chance at developing into at least an above average defensive shortstop as a pro. It's a shortstop frame with rangy actions and quick hands around the bag. He's got the best actions of any infielder in the class and is the best bet you'll find to play shortstop in the big leagues in this draft class.

Carlson also pitches and features a high-spin breaking ball with big lateral action. He's been up to 97 mph. Most believe his future is on the dirt. Carlson will be 19 years old on draft day.

Carlson's biggest vice may be how tough he can be on himself when he's struggling. It's a part of his game and mental fortitude that has improved over the last twelve months, but being the high-motor competitor he is, it may always be a small part of how he ticks.

Shortstops hailing from Southern California are always a hot commodity in every draft and Carlson fits right up there with most from the last half-decade. He's even a bit twitchier than some of those that preceded him. He'll be a hot name in July and could come off the board inside the top 10 picks.

 

2-1-25 –

https://blogredmachine.com/latest-2025-mlb-mock-draft-will-excite-reds-fans-but-cincy-should-stay-the-course

Billy Carlson (SS/RHP), Corona High School (CA)

Carlson offers two-way potential but is best projected as a shortstop with the ability to impact the game on both sides of the ball. He has a strong arm and defensive instincts that give him a high floor, while his offensive development could turn him into a five-tool player.

Carlson's athleticism and smooth actions in the infield make him an ideal fit for a Reds system that has had success developing premium infielders.

 

1-28-25 –

MLB 2025 Mock Draft 2.0: Predictions for Every 1st-Round Pick

https://syndication.bleacherreport.com/amp/10152297-mlb-2025-mock-draft-20-predictions-for-every-1st-round-pick.amp.html  

15. Boston Red Sox: SS/RHP Billy Carlson, Corona HS (CA)

Carlson is the most well-rounded two-way player in the 2025 class with five-tool potential at shortstop and electric stuff on the mound, including a fastball that touches 96 mph and a good breaking ball. His 6'1", 160-pound frame raises some questions about his durability on the mound and he might have a higher ceiling as a shortstop, but if he comes out bigger and stronger on the mound this spring that could change. Regardless, his talent belongs somewhere in the middle of the first round.

 

1-27-25  -  Just Baseball –

2025 MLB Draft - Top 80 High School Prospects

https://www.justbaseball.com/college/mlb-draft-top-high-school-prep-prospects/  

7. Billy Carlson – SS

HT/WT: 6’1/180 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Corona (CA) | Commitment: Tennessee | Age: 18.11

A two-way athlete out of the loaded Corona High School roster, Carlson may just be the best shortstop defender in the class. Carlson possesses smooth, rangy actions at the “six” with bounce, soft hands, and a quick release across the infield.

His arm is very stout and grades out as plus or better at the position, too, leaving little doubt that he’ll stick at the position long term.

At the plate, his swing can get a bit steep, but there’s not a ton of whiff concerns, and stays within the strike zone. He’s beginning to lift the ball more and there’s robust power in the bat thanks to loud bat speed. It’s akin to former Tennessee standout Jordan Beck.

His athleticism and arm strength translate on the mound, as he’s been up to 96-97 MPH already with fluidity down the mound.

The secondaries are promising, as he throws a quality mid-70s curveball with depth and a mid-80s change-up with solid fading life. He’s thrown strikes at a solid clip, too. There’s a ton of upside if everything works out with Carlson. Carlson flipped from Vanderbilt to Tennessee during the fall, joining a highly touted class for Tony Vitello’s crew.

 

1-17-25 –

Introduction to the 2025 MLB Draft: Top prep hitters available

https://bucsondeck.substack.com/p/introduction-to-the-2025-mlb-draft-1c4  

Billy Carlson, SS

Another two-way player at the top of the draft, Billy Carlson, is part of that loaded Corona HS team that could feature three first-round picks.

Thanks to his talent on the mound, Carlson has a double-plus arm and is athletic enough that he should be able to stick at shortstop long-term. He has a patient approach at the plate and has the chance for an above-average hit tool with his bat-to-ball skills.

As one of the best defensive shortstops in the class, there is a good chance his future is there, as opposed to on the mound.

 

1-16-25 -

An Early Look at the Top 30 Prospects for the 2025 MLB Draft

https://lastwordonsports.com/baseball/2025/01/15/top-30-prospects-2025-mlb-draft/#google_vignette  

18. Billy Carlson, SS/RHP, Corona (Calif.) HS

Though Carlson flashes a mid-90s fastball and a plus curveball, he’s more attractive as a shortstop who could wind up with five solid-or-better tools.

 

1-3-25 –

2025 MLB Draft: Top 75 Prep Prospects — Prospects Live

https://www.prospectslive.com/prospects-live/2024/12/26/2025-mlb-draft-top-75-prep-prospects   -

5. SS/RHP Billy Carlson, Corona (CA)

 

Height: 6’1

Weight: 175

b/t: R/R

Draft Day Age: 18 YR 11 MO

Commitment: Vanderbilt

Hometown: Corona, CA

A two-way athlete out of the loaded Corona High School roster, Carlson may just be the best shortstop defender in the class. Carlson possesses smooth, rangy actions at the "six" with bounce, soft hands, and a quick release across the infield. His arm is very stout and grades out as plus or better at the position, too, leaving little doubt that he'll stick at the position long term. At the plate, his swing can get a bit steep, but there's not a ton of whiff concerns, and stays within the strike zone. He's beginning to lift the ball more and there's robust power in the bat thanks to loud bat speed. His athleticism and arm strength translate on the mound, as he's been up to 96-97 MPH already with fluidity down the mound. The secondaries are promising, as he throws a quality mid-70s curveball with depth and a mid-80s change-up with solid fading life. He's thrown strikes at a solid clip, too. There's a ton of upside if everything works out with Carlson. Carlson flipped from Vanderbilt to Tennessee during the fall, joining a highly touted class for Tony Vitello's crew.

 

12-10-24 –

Here's Pipeline's first full 2025 mock draft

https://www.mlb.com/news/first-full-2025-mlb-mock-draft?partnerID=web_article-share  –

14. Rays: Billy Carlson, SS/RHP, Corona (Calif.) HS (No. 12)

Though Carlson flashes a mid-90s fastball and a plus curveball, he's more attractive as a shortstop who could wind up with five solid-or-better tools.

 

11/24/24 - 2025 Draft Prospect - SS/RHP/2B - Billy Carlson - Corona HS (CA)

 

Ben McKee              @benmckee14

Billy Carlson, a former Vanderbilt commit who is ranked as the No. 5 overall player in the '25 class, has committed to Tennessee.

The California native is a two-way player. Viewed as the best defensive shortstop in his class and been up to 97 mph.

 

https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/Playerprofile.aspx?ID=678488  –

2024 National Showcase

Billy Carlson is a 2025 SS/RHP/2B with a 6-1 175 lb. frame from Corona, CA who attends Corona. Loose and athletic middle infielder's build. 6.68 runner in the sixty. Primary shortstop on defense, has elite level defensive tools, top of the scale arm strength and makes accurate throws, has bounce and lightness in his footwork and glides smoothly through the ball, works through everything cleanly. Right handed hitter, hits from a medium straight stance, gets coiled in his lower half with an inward toe tap, has present bat speed and gets separated well, lived on the barrel with hard pull to mid field contact. Also pitched and could be one of the top arms in the country if he choose to concentrate on pitching. Fastball topped out at 96 mph with big carry through the zone. Curveball was a hammer with 18" of IHB, also threw a nice change up. Good student, verbal commitment to Vanderbilt. Selected to play in the Perfect Game All-American Classic.

 

https://sports.yahoo.com/top-5-recruit-billy-carlson-193135524.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall  –

Billy Carlson, a top-five prospect and a former Vanderbilt commit, committed to Tennessee baseball on Friday.

The Corona (California) High School two-way player is ranked the No. 5 prospect in the nation by Perfect Game. Carlson is a shortstop and right-handed pitcher. He's considered to be elite defensively at shortstop, while he throws in the upper-90s on the mound.

He took an official visit to Tennessee in mid-October when the Vols faced Florida in football.

Carlson was a longtime Vanderbilt commitment, but his recruitment shifted in recent months as Vanderbilt's staff changed. The Vols got involved in Carlson's recruitment after coach Tim Corbin fired two assistants, including hitting coach Mike Baxter. Carlson looked at other options and chose Tennessee.

The 6-foot-1, 180-pound Carlson is ranked the No. 6 high school prospect in the 2025 MLB Draft by MLB.com's Jonathan Mayo.

 

10/6/24 - 2025 Draft Prospect - top 20 high school prospects for the '25 Draft

6. Billy Carlson, SS/RHP, Corona HS (Calif.)

Another member of the NHSI-winning Corona team, Carlson is a Vanderbilt recruit with skills on both sides. He’s very athletic with good bat speed at the plate, using more of a line-drive approach at present. He has excellent actions and a plus arm at shortstop and should be able to stick there. Some might like him better on the mound, where that arm has been up to 95-96 mph at times with good breaking stuff.

9/22/24 - 2025 Draft - Top 30 Prep Prospects

10. SS/RHP Billy Carlson, Corona (CA)

Height: 6’1

Weight: 175

b/t: R/R

Draft Day Age: 18 YR 11 MO

Commitment: Vanderbilt

Hometown: Corona, CA

A two-way athlete out of the loaded Corona High School roster, Carlson may just be the best shortstop defender in the class. Carlson possesses smooth, rangy actions at the "six" with bounce, soft hands, and a quick release across the infield. His arm is very stout and grades out as plus or better at the position, too, leaving little doubt that he'll stick at the position long term.

At the plate, his swing can get a bit steep, but there's not a ton of whiff concerns, and stays within the strike zone. He's beginning to lift the ball more and there's robust power in the bat thanks to loud bat speed. His athleticism and arm strength translate on the mound, as he's been up to 96-97 MPH already with fluidity down the mound.

The secondaries are promising, as he throws a quality mid-70s curveball with depth and a mid-80s change-up with solid fading life. He's thrown strikes at a solid clip, too. There's a ton of upside if everything works out with Carlson. He is currently committed to attending Vanderbilt and projects to be on the older side of the class.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

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