Good
morning.
We
talk every morning about the great young starters this team has, including Zack Wheeler, who is still currently healing from TJS
and Logan Verrett, who was the first pitcher in
the history of organized ball to go 2-0 as a reliever and also put up the kind
of numbers he has generated as an emergency starter.
I
have to throw another name at you at this point.
Gabriel Ynoa.
This
kid just hasn’t had a bad year:
2012 – Brooklyn: 5-2, 2.23/0.93,
13-starts
2013 – Savannah: 15-4, 2.72/1.02, 22-starts
2014 – St. Lucie: 8-2, 3.95/1.32, 14-starts
2015 – Binghamton: 9-9, 3.90/1.23, 24-starts
Now,
in 2016, Ynoa threw his fifth start this season for AAA-Ls Vegas and we all
know how much pitchers are eaten up in that PCL league, right? Well, he’s 2-0,
2.05/1.04 through Monday night.
Ynoa
is only 22-years old
Eric
H @TeamFirstEric - @JohnMackinAde hope all is well with
you. DO you know why Becerra is DH and
not playing in the field???? Thanks for any help
Adam MacDonald - He’s
been dealing with a sore throwing shoulder since spring training so that’s why
he’s been strictly DH. They’re building him arm back up so he can get back to
RF.
Josh Edgin’s velocity
continues to be an issue during his rehab… Monday’s speeds ranged in the 86-87
range. I don’t see this enough to get him a slot in Queens so I expect the Mets
to stretch out his rehabbing as long as the rules allow. Edgin also has
options.
Rotographs
on Mets prospects -
2016
Sleeper: Gavin Cecchini, SS: The brother of
Garin Cecchini, Gavin has turned himself into a nifty little prospect, although
he’ll never be a huge impact guy. The middle infielder is a solid defender and
could play either shortstop or second base in the majors for the Mets. At the
plate, he projects to hit for a decent average and his done an excellent job tightening
up his approach and currently has more walks than strikeouts in triple-A (12-11
BB-K). He’ll never hit for much pop or steal a ton of bases so his offensive
value is mostly tied to his ability to get on base.
Mack – Boy, isn’t
it great when they describe one of your first round picks as someone that will
never be a ‘huge impact guy’. I’m not going to go back and keep wining about
who should have been picked with this pick. The good news here is the guy we’re
going to talk about next will be a year behind him and should take over
shortstop for a long, long time.
2017
Stud: Amed Rosario, SS: OK so the 2017 might be
a bit of a stretch but I truly believe Rosario is advanced enough to be ready
before the middle of next year if the club can find a place to play him
defensively. I’ve been ranking him more aggressively than most for the last
three years or so and he broke out in ’15. His success has continued in high-A
ball this season. He has a ,300 average and is showing increasingly more pop.
He could be a 15-15 (HR-SB) down the road.
Mack – I’m going
to project him a little more conservatively. Right now, I don’t see any reason
to plan on moving Astrubel Cabrera off of short during the 2017 season. Therefore, Rosario automatically
becomes a September call-up that season and should take over the starting slot
in 2018.
Long-term
Investment: Wuilmer Becerra, OF: The R.A. Dickey trade with Toronto could get a lot more
ugly for the Blue Jays even as Travis d’Arnaud
loses some of his shine as a potential impact catcher. Becerra has overcome an
ugly hit-by-pitch to his face in the low minors to develop into a strong
offensive player. Currently in high-A ball he’s hitting more than .370 after
breaking out in low-A ball in ’15. He hasn’t hit for a ton of power yet but he
projects to hit 15-20 homers in the future. Investments in the draft and the
international market have given the Mets an embarrassment of riches in the
lower minors.
Mack – We talked a
few years ago about Becerra possibly being the hidden gem in this deal. Sandy Alderson would not have consummated
this trade without this guy and everyone is starting to realize why.
2018 looks like
an electric year with Rosario and Dilson Herrera projected for the infield and Becerra and Michael Conforto as corner outfielders.
7 comments:
Morning Mack
don't forget about Dom Smith for 2018 either
or possibly Sept call up with Rosario in 2017.
Ynoa strikes me as very fringy, particularly when you take a deeper look at his stats than W-L, ERA, WHIP.
He's always given up a lot of hits. A lot. And his low K-rates are problematic. A word on strikeouts: There are studies that have demonstrated that K-rates are predictive, and that it is extremely rare for a MLB pitcher for have sustained success without at least a rate of 6.0 (that's top of my head, honestly). Really, you can go through MLB history and you are not going to find many success stories of guys who continually allow teams to put the ball in play. I mean to say that it's not a love of strikeouts, per say. But that it indicates quality of stuff, and sustainability of success. We are all high on the current Mets rotation for a reason.
On the plus side, Ynoa does not walk batters. I'm not optimistic about him, though at 22 there's room for improvement. He may not have had a bad season yet, but I don't think 2014 or 2015 were particularly good.
Respectfully, Mack, as always,
James Preller
Supposedly, Ynoa has decent velocity, so his low K rate is puzzling.
Gavin Cecchini alert...last 6 games, he is 13 for 22, 2 walks. Not bad for a low impact guy.
Mr Dilson woke up last night, with 2 homers, a triple and single. T J Rivera the production machine had 2 hits and 2 walks.
Dom Smith had his 3rd homer and now has 96 RBIs in his last 123 minor league regular season games. Only turns 21 in mid-June. I am impressed, aren't you, Ernest?
Mets manage 1 hit, while Vegas and Bingo combine for 28 runs...it can be a funny game.
Dom Smith is the next starting 1B for mets
We know this ;)
Im planning to continue my weekly prospect posts maybe guillorme this friday and Becerra nect week.
Becerra has 'grown man strenght'........
Ynoa is a winning machine. Who knows. Besides we're not asking him to be anything but perhaps a potential SP5.
Agreed. Dom Smith is on a tear now in AA and second in RBI's in the league. And I believe he is only 20 years old? His power is starting to come and defensively ilhebis major league ready. He hits to all fields so you can't put the shift on for him. He won't hit as many Hr's as Duda but Smith will be an overall big upgrade in 2017/2018
Ernest, Guillorme's 1000+ at bats without a triple or homer are a concern.
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