1/11/23

Tom Brennan - Correa In-House Substitutes?

With no Correa, who gets the ball instead?

Steve and Billy may well trade for or sign someone proven, in the absence of gold-plated Carlos Correa.

How about a guy who projects out to do the following, per Baseball Reference:

583 ABs, 142 H, 28 doubles, 3 triples, 19 HRs, 71 RBIs, 54 walks.  

Not great, but certainly not bad, I'd say.

Who, though, is that guy?

The combined trio of Mark Vientos, Francisco Alvarez, and Brett Baty, actually.

Fangraphs is much stingier at this point, far more so than several weeks ago, regarding the trio.  Perhaps their stats assumed the arrival of Carlos Correa, and have not yet been readjusted.

They reflected 120 ABs for Baty, 176 ABs for Alvarez, and just 7 for Vientos.  Or bout 300 in total, at fairly the same ratios as Baseball Reference, just projecting half the ABs.

The good news with the in-house approach would be that these guys would develop in the majors and hopefully be more attractive to a team like the Angels if they went all out to get Shohei Ohtani at the trade deadline.  Broken in baseball players are better understood commodities than AAA players.

Lastly, BR does not have projections for Ronny Mauricio, as far as I can tell, because he has no major league PAs so far.  And Fangraphs, right or wrong (I say dead wrong) has no ABs listed for Mauricio in 2023.  (I see Ronny arriving by mid-season).

But Fangraphs seems to show that if Ronny did get to play in the majors in 2023, his slash line would be .238/.274/.404.   Not so bad for starters, and I think that slash line is achievable.

All in all, I am open to going with the kids in the absence of Correa.

P.S. 

Since Minnesota is further north than NY, should we forever after call him NORTH CORREA? 

Just a thought, comrade.


 

5 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Playing kids, and not Correa, saves about $50 million a year, including lux tax

Paul Articulates said...

I'm disappointed that we were not able to get Correa - he provided great defense, leadership, and a bat that made the whole lineup deeper. No doubt that the "kids" are going to help, but this requires them to perform immediately rather than being brought into a lower pressure situation.

That said, I think that the Mets were wise. There are other ways to get to their goal. There are many things all of us want but are too expensive to justify. Correa's ankle was Jung Un of those.

Tom Brennan said...

Correa short term would have enhanced WS changes.

Anonymous said...

I am also very disappointed with losing Correa
This was a fantasy lineup with him

The kids getting a chance to play is nice but if they fail they also lose value

Potential is sometime more valuable than result

Kelenic was great in our system because of his potential
Now he is Pennies on a dollar

I do think the kids are now pushed to HAVE to perform

And based on what I saw last year none can play 3B at the mlb level

So here’s hoping Mauricio can grab a golden opportunity
Eddie

Anonymous said...

Kelenic or Crow? Bet Kelenic has the better career.