1/22/23

Tom Brennan - How Do Our Prospects Size Up?


MLB has its Top 100 list.

Culled down out of several thousand minor leaguers, so making the top 100 is highly impressive.

As there are 30 teams, that averages out to a little over 3 per org.

The Mets have 4.

Francisco Alvarez - # 1. 

Top prospect in all of baseball, who said he 100% believes he will be on the Mets’ opening day roster. I 100% believe that too.

Brett Baty - # 19.  

That is an impressively high ranking…only 1 out of every two teams, on average, has a guy that high.

Kevin Parada - # 37.  

Considering how brief his 2022 debut was, that is high praise indeed, and sets him up to be top 10 heading into 2024.

Alex Ramirez - # 85. 

A very high rank for a kid who will play 2023 at age 20. I expect he’ll jump 50 rungs by this time next year.

Also, an average rank above 50 is better than one below 50.  The 4 above average an excellent 35.

Not in the Top 100? 

Mark Vientos, Ronny Mauricio, Jett Williams, Blade Tidwell, or Dom Hamel. The former two will be major leaguers by this time next year, and the other 3 will climb into the top 100.

As far as quality prospects, the Mets are sitting pretty.

P.S. Pete Crow Armstrong is at # 30. 

- My guess is a year from now, he is a top 10 MLB prospect.

Other interesting notes and commentary:

Kumar Rocker is not (at least yet) in the top 100.

And the 100th guy?  A non-Met RHP named (drum roll, please) Wilmer Flores.

And, for the Woke readers among you, there are no women in the top 100.  Since the Mets play in AOC’s district, which includes an epicenter named Corona, I am puzzled why she hasn’t brought that up. 

No doubt, some day she’ll want 50 of the top 100 to at least self-identify as women. Babe Ruth already volunteered. And she probably will want night games banned, too, to stop wasting all that electricity on lights.

I know, not one of my top 100 articles.  But you read it, so I thank you.

18 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Good morning. First commenter is officially included in the Brennan Top 100.

Mack Ade said...

Me

Gary Seagren said...

Beautiful morning here in Sarasota and where do I always go first for interesting scintillating posts on my favorite team...here of course. Big question for me is why Maurcio is hardly mentioned on SNY and other Met articles and posts because based on his performance last year and winter ball and being a switch hitter with power he should be more highly touted.

Mack Ade said...

Baseball America knows prospects.

Baseball America has never listed him in their top 100 prospects

Somethin is rotten in Denmark

Tom Brennan said...

Mack is # 1. Sorry, Francisco.

Tom Brennan said...

I agree on Mauricio. Show them tightened D, and bring the average and OBP up, and he is not far from the top 50 in BB.

Anonymous said...

Tom
We alway talk Pete crow
But what about E Rodriguez
He is top 50 and he was traded for Joey Lucashi ( I did not bother to look up the spelling)
We are supposed to be able to scout our guys best
Losing someone that night for so little return is a organizational flaw
Eddie

TexasGusCC said...

Greetings and salutations!

Prospects1500 has Mauricio #3 on the Mets list, and 20/20 middle infielders that just turned 21 don’t grow on trees. As for Crow, that was part brain fart, part listening too much to Lindor, part wanting to make up for losing JDG, but we need to let him go.

As for Rodriguez, the Padres failed him too. But, the Pirates have a great developmental system and something clicked for the kid. Hard to tell the future, but the Crow-Armstrong trade was stupidity on the level of trading three young arms for Ruf. The Rodriguez trade for a controllable lefty wasn’t too bad considering that even the Padres did not get the satisfaction of developing him correctly but rather the Pirates are getting it.

Baseball America has six Mets in its top 100 and Mauricio isn’t one of them. He will be by July.

I have not written anything on the McNeil arbitration stuff, but I see a smoke screen. Yesterday, McNeil was quoted as saying this year’s starting staff will be amazing. He may be showing team colors but to me a player that plays multiple positions well has great value. Plus, he can leadoff or bat anywhere in the top 3. I think 3/$40 is a start, but 4/$55 May work too. If they can come to some agreement, I expect to see a multi-year deal announced before opening day. Problem is, all that gets averaged out to about $13 making this year’s tax hit even higher. Maybe better to wait until next year when some stuff come off the books?

Tom Brennan said...

Gus interesting. The only problem for McNeil with delaying is he coul get hurt and lose value before he extends.

Anonymous said...

The AOC comment was uncalled for. You should keep politics out of this. You just lost a loyal reader.

TexasGusCC said...

Bye! I guess we will never know who you used to be!

Tom Brennan said...

Geesh…leaving over AOC? That’s A-OK.

I bid thee adieu. And au revoir. Dem’s the breaks. Too woke to take a joke?

Anonymous said...

Not just Rodriguez and Armstrong but Ginn, Szapucki, Seymour and Zwack, all traded and nothing to show for it. Seymour and Zwack were just coming on and we’re both Met minor league pitchers of the month. Mets want a left handed reliever with options and refuse to get Chafin or Britton. Szapucki was finally recovered from Tommy John and was doing well as a SF lefty reliever. Mets should have received Ruf and prospects for Davis, not the other way around. More proof Eppler is not the answer. He couldn’t develop a team with Moreno’s billions and Triut and ohtani and he won’t bring a Championship to the Mets.

Anonymous said...

And while we’re on the subject, I never understood the Lindor trade. There was no way we were making the playoffs. So we traded 2 starters and 2 prospects for a rental months before w e could have gotten him as a free agent. Made no sense and deprived us of valuable trade chips. Same thing wit Piazza. We weren’t in contention and the only teams that could afford him were Yankees, Dodgers and Mets. He wasn’t going back to Dodgers and Yankees had Posada. Again a waste of trade chips for a player they would have gotten anyway. The Rocker screwup, the only team in mlb that didn’t sign their 3rd round prospect, it’s poor Mets management that accounts for the poor minor league condition

TexasGusCC said...

It’s hard to know which anonymous is which, but in reference to the second anonymous’ two posts, I was right with you on the first one but disagreed throughout the second one. Gimenez last year hit less than .200 on fastballs over 95. Don’t be fooled by the shiny average. I’ll bypass Piazza that was twenty-five years ago, and say Perada is already in the top 50 prospects and Rocker is no where to be seen. And, don’t expect to get Perada at 14. I do agree though that Eppler has no plan.

TexasGusCC said...

Also, in the Lindor trade the Mets got three years of Corrasco to more than balance out the three years of a struggling shortstop named Rosario. I feel the Mets we’re doing fine before Eppler stepped in and gave away a ton of prospects and money.

Tom Brennan said...

Gus, that Ruf trade and the Crow trade? Both hard to grasp. With those kids in house, we would be smoking in the minors.

TexasGusCC said...

Yes Tom, very possibly a top five system.