The Most Improved Players Thus Far By Projected WAR
4. Bobby Abreu, OF, New York NL (Profile)
Projection (PRE): 29 PA, .240/.333/.361, 94 wRC+, 0 Off, -1 Def, 0.0 WAR
Projection (ROS): 101 PA, .249/.339/.363, 103 wRC+, 0 Off, -1 Def, 0.2 WAR
Projection (PRE): 29 PA, .240/.333/.361, 94 wRC+, 0 Off, -1 Def, 0.0 WAR
Projection (ROS): 101 PA, .249/.339/.363, 103 wRC+, 0 Off, -1 Def, 0.2 WAR
Notes
That Bobby Abreu has, in the past, been an excellent player is impossible to ignore. That he’s now a 40-year-old person, however, with some demonstrable physical limitations is also pretty clear. Nor do the projection systems ignore Abreu’s shortcomings: Steamer regards him as about a one-win player per every 550 plate appearances right now. That’s the true-talent level of a valuable role player, that — better than replacement level, but not really average, either. If it’s an underwhelming assessment, it’s also a more optimistic one than Steamer produced in March — about 1.5 wins better per 550 PA.
That Bobby Abreu has, in the past, been an excellent player is impossible to ignore. That he’s now a 40-year-old person, however, with some demonstrable physical limitations is also pretty clear. Nor do the projection systems ignore Abreu’s shortcomings: Steamer regards him as about a one-win player per every 550 plate appearances right now. That’s the true-talent level of a valuable role player, that — better than replacement level, but not really average, either. If it’s an underwhelming assessment, it’s also a more optimistic one than Steamer produced in March — about 1.5 wins better per 550 PA.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-most-improved-players-thus-far-by-projected-war/
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