8/4/14

MM's Top 25: The Best of the Rest

#30 C Ali Sanchez (LRN/A)
Bats: R Throws: R
Height6' 0" Weight: 175 lb
Age: 17
Acquired: 2013 International Signing, Venezuela

2014: (DSL1) .305/.411/.414, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 5 SB (55%), 20 BB, 21 K


     Every year we have a tendency to highlight at least 1 potential big name player in the Mets DSL affiliate. Sometimes we hit, sometimes we miss. In 2012 we highlighted Victor Cruzado, Last year it was Vicente Lupo, this year its Ali Sanchez.

     Sanchez was given a $690k bonus to sign with the team last year and was considered the 2nd best international catching prospect behind Jose Herrera. According to Baseball America's Ben Badler, Sanchez "an intelligent, high-energy player who has good hands and is a good receiver. He has a solid arm that plays up due to his quick transfer and accuracy.....scouts have seen him hit a lot against live pitching, showing a consistent approach and a contact-oriented swing."

     So far Sanchez is living up to Badler's analysis. Defensively, Sanchez is beyond his years only allowing 8 passed balls so far, which is fewer than 27 other teams in the DSL. He's also thrown out over 52% of would be base stealers. Offensively he's posted a .300+ batting average, a .825 OPS and a 1:1 K to BB ratio. If the bat can continue developing as he progresses, the Mets may have a 3rd big time catching prospect in the system.

Ceiling: Way Too Early to tell, but a Salvador Perez comp is pretty solid.
Floor: Comes stateside and bat disappears in Rookie Ball.


#29 LHSP Blake Taylor (LRN/A)
Bats: L Throws: L
Height6' 3" Weight: 220 lb
Age: 18
Acquired: Trade from Pittsburgh w/Zack Thornton for Ike Davis

2014: (R) 2-0, 2.77 ERA, 13.0 IP, 9.7 K/9, 6.2 BB/9, 1.231 WHIP
2013: (R) 0-2, 2.57 ERA, 21.0 IP, 5.6 K/9, 3.9 BB/9, 0.762 WHIP

     First, the disclaimer, we do not have a large enough sample size yet to really determine where Taylor fits among the Top 25. That is why he's here.


     On the surface it seems as though Sandy must've had some dirt on Neal Huntington cause getting Taylor in return for Ike Davis looks like a steal. The young left hander was a 2nd round pick in the 2013 draft with a strong, mature build, and two plus breaking pitches in his curveball and slider. However according to various scouting reports, Taylor is gonna be a project for the organization.

     His velocity is inconsistent as it has reportedly been as high as 94 but as low as 83. He also has trouble locating his pitches which leads to his high BB rate. Despite these 2 things, the highest risk factor when it comes to Taylor is actually his motion. According to Amazin Avenue's Alex Nelson, Taylor  "vertically loads his scapula, which is putting stress on his shoulder." This could make Taylor a potential injury risk going forward.

Ceiling: #3 Lefty SP
Floor: An injury waiting to happen, flames out before hitting St. Lucie.


#28 OF Wuilmer Becerra (LR#30)
Bats: R Throws: R
Height6' 4" Weight: 190 lb
Age: 19
Acquired: Trade from Toronto w/Noah Syndergaard and Travis d'Arnaud for R.A. Dickey, Josh Thole, and Mike Nickeas

2014: (R) .333/.371/.528, 5 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB (0%), 5 BB, 27 K
2013: (R) .243/.351/.295, 1 HR, 25 RBI, 5 SB (45%), 20 BB, 60 K
2012: (R) .250/.359/.375, 0 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB (0%), 4 BB, 7 K 

    We finally get to see the real throw in fruit of the R.A. Dickey trade and boy does it look appetizing. After playing in his 1st short season year with the GCL last year, Becerra has been tearing it up with the higher level Kingsport team this year. 

     He is displaying good power to the opposite field as well as the ability to put the bat on the ball. He is still having some trouble with strike zone recognition as his 23.3% K rate is not going to survive at the upper levels.

Defensively, he's showing more than capable abilities to handle the corner OF positions. In addition he's displaying a strong enough arm to stay in RF with 12 OF assists in 79 career Rookie level games with the Mets. This will jump his value a bit but the bat will have to develop with the arm to jump him up into the Top 25.

Ceiling: Average Bat, Strong defender in RF.
Floor: Stalls at Port St. Lucie.


#27 3B Jhoan Urena (LRN/A)
Bats: S Throws: R
Height6' 1" Weight: 200 lb
Age: 19
Acquired: 2011 international signing, Dominican Republic

2014: (SS-A) .304/.367/.435, 3 HR, 23 RBI, 4 SB (44%), 17 BB, 36 K
2013: (R) .299/.351/.376, 0 HR, 20 RBI, 4 SB (80%), 13 BB, 34 K
2012: (DSL2) .279/.330/.405, 4 HR, 34 RBI, 12 SB (80%), 20 BB, 46 K 

     One of Sandy Alderson's 1st year bonus babies, Urena signed for $425,000 at age 16. After a strong 2012 campaign in the Dominican Summer League, Urena was brought stateside and performed well enough to catch Baseball America's eye on their GCL sleeper prospects list. Now in Brooklyn, Urena has excelled as a middle of order bat for the Cyclones.

     While he is listed as a switch hitter, Urena carries significant righty/lefty splits. In 2013, he hit .346 with a .813 OPS when hitting lefty but .200 with a .541 OPS when he hit righty. In 2014, he's hit .304 with a .793 OPS as a lefty but only .238 with a .689 OPS as a righty. With that in mind, the organization should probably just force him to hit left handed for the remainder of his career.

     Defensively, Urena has more than enough arm strength to stick at 3B. He also has good reactions and soft hands. His only downside is that he isn't fluid with his movements and is not the fleetest of foot so his range is a tad limited. Overall, he looks like a good bet to remain at 3B for the rest of his career.

Ceiling: Platoon 3B for a second tier MLB team.
Floor: Enough bat for lower minors but struggles in AA.


#26 RHSP John Gant (LRN/A)
Bats: R Throws: R
Height6' 3" Weight: 175 lb
Age: 21
Acquired: 2011 Rule 4 Draft, 21st round, Wiregrass Ranch HS (Wesley Chapel, FL)

2014: (A) 10-5, 2.72 ERA, 106 IP, 8.0 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 1.283 WHIP
2013: (SS-A) 6-4, 2.89 ERA, 71.2 IP, 10.2 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 1.130 WHIP
2012: (R/A) 3-4, 4.98 ERA, 59.2 IP, 7.8 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 1.525 WHIP
2011: (R) 0-1, 6.48 ERA, 8.1 IP, 5.4 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 1.320 WHIP

     When it comes to pitching prospects, I look for four things. A) A strong K/9 rate that's at least above 8.0 aka the "Domingo Tapia Rule", B) at least 1 plus secondary pitch, C) good body size and D) strong results at a proper age to level comparison. Gant fits the bill for all of these criteria despite having below average velocity.

     Despite adding about 20 lbs and about 3 ticks to his Fastball velocity, Gant still only tops out at 92mph and usually sits between 88-90mph. Usually for right handed arms that's well below average, but for Gant, its played up thanks to his deceptive motion. He has a very funky wind-up and hides the ball incredibly well which allows his fastball to sneak up on batters. In addition he has an advanced change-up that sits between 77-78mph and has wicked splitter like downward movement.

     Gant's control still needs refinement as he generally hovers in the low 3's for BB's per 9 innings. In addition he currently has trouble hitting the lower 1/3 of the strike zone with regularity. Once he learns to use his height to generate downward movement on his fastball his ceiling could increase.

Ceiling: Back-end rotation piece. #4/#5 SP
Floor: Hitters begin feasting on his low velocity fastball in AA.

5 comments:

Mack Ade said...

I always love when you do this.

Tom Brennan said...

Nice job, Chris.

Starvinghystericalnaked said...

What happened to Domingo Tapia? Did I miss him? Or has he just fallen off that much? Thanks.

Mack Ade said...

He started with St. Lucie but was once away all over the plate - I have some infor on him in a future post

Tom Brennan said...

I'm nervous about Gant if he can't drum up a little more velocity - you wonder if there is any left to tap.

On Urena, I'd let him keep hitting righty next year in full season ball, as it may be nothing more than seeing very few lefties. But if that fails, I agree that the time to end the switch hitting may be over for him.

Becerra should be really interesting in 2015 because his #'s would have been stronger except for a slow start last year.

As for Blake Taylor, I always suspected that he "vertically loaded his scapula, which puts stress on his shoulder." I guess that means he'll never be able to do the Jenrry Mejia post-close celebration moves without risking serious injury!!

Good job, Chris.