Christopher
asks -
A good Sunday morning question… who
would you rather have:
(162 Game Averages)
Matt Weiters- .257 AVG, 22 HR, 82 RBI, .743 OPS
Johnathan
Lucroy- .284 AVG, 13 HR, 79 RBI, .759 OPS
Weiters
happens to be Travis d'Arnaud's ceiling. A .260
AVG, 25 HR, 85+ RBI guy
Lucroy happens to be Kevin
Plawecki's ceiling. A .290 AVG, 15 HR, 70+ RBI guy who also hits 40+
doubles.
It's good to
be Sandy Alderson right now cause 1 of these
guys is going to get us a franchise SS. Its just a matter of who?
Mack
– I’m always go with the hand I have rather than the one I’m hoping on drawing.
D’Arnaud has already proven… at least, to me… that he can catcher good enough
to stay in the majors, and he has a bat capable of hitting over 25 home runs.
This
game just doesn’t have enough hitters like this anymore.
There
are only four National League hitters that currently have 25 home runs or more.
That’s pathetic.
The
Mets are not going to spend the kind of money needed to get another home run
hitter, and Plawecki, for all he is, does not project out to be a 20+ home run
hitter in this game. The Mets need to keep d’Arnaud in their lineup to firm up a
viable 3-4-5-6 in their lineup.
But
that’s just me…
Dan Farnsworth on Rusney Castillo -
Adding up my
extremely accurate value projections, we get about a 2 WAR player with the
potential for another win or two coming from his bat in a good year. To bet on
the over offensively is to believe he is athletic enough to make hard contact
at a near elite rate despite some swing deficiencies, which I cannot refute as
a possibility. I would also not be surprised if there was another half win on
the defensive side. Considering his contract calls for him to be paid
market-price for this value, and there are some encouraging reasons to believe
it is a modest estimate, the Sox appear to have done well making a solid upside
play with a high floor.
Well, it’s
the time of the year that the organizational reports are compiled by all the
bloggers in baseball. The first on the Mets seem to be from MLB Prospect Watch
(http://www.mlbprospectwatch.com/mlb_prospect_watch/2014/09/organization-recap-new-york-mets.html) which did not give an overall rating, but
did break things down into certain categories.
Here’s one of them:
Take a Step
Back: Dominic Smith, 1B: It's not fair to get too tough on Smith, who
hit .277 with a .341 on-base percentage as a 19-year-old, and one of the
youngest position players, in the South Atlantic League. He also played all of
his home games in Savannah, a park known to zap power. That said, one home run
all season from a first base prospect, and one that projects to have
above-average power, is disheartening. Smith's tools are all still intact, so
there's no reason that he can't take steps forward, though the Florida State
League won't be much more forgiving in terms of power. Reports have Smith
sacrificing some power for the sake of being a better all-around hitter, and he
demonstrates plus power in batting practice, but he'll need to show more of it
in games if he wants to be a first baseman in the major leagues.
A little rough on a kid playing
ball this high for his lack of age. I don’t frankly worry about him because
there’s no rush here. Lucas
Duda is doing just fine
and I’d rather let Smith spend three more years in the minor league system,
learning and growing
Kiley
McDaniel’s early Top 10
list for the 2015 Draft –
Brendan
Rodgers, SS, (HS)
Brady
Aiken, LHP, (JC)
Mike
Matuella, RHP, Duke
Walker
Buehler, RHP, Vanderbilt
Phil
Bickford, RHP, (JC)
Kolby
Allard, LHP (HS)
Darby
Swanson, SS, Vanderbilt
Daz
Cameron, OF, (HS)
Justin
Hooper, LHP, (HS)
Kyle Funkhouser, RHP, Louisville
We continue
to look at the teams in the NL Central as possible off-season trade partners
for the Mets needs.
We move on
to the Milwaukee Brewers.
According to
Cot[i],
the Brewers have combined 2014 salaries of $103,397,967.
Outfield
wise, all-star Ryan Braun ($13mil/2015,
$20mil/2016-2018, $19mil/2019-2020) leads the way in right field. Ex-Mets and
fellow all-star Carlos Gomez ($8mil/2015, $9mil/2015)
plays center. Pre-arbitration, Khris Davis (464-AB,
.254) was the primary left fielder.
The 4th
outfielder is Geraldo Parra (480-AB, .265, 8-HR,
38-RBI), who is going into his arbitration-4 year with a $4.85mil salary. The 5th
outfielder is pre-ARB Elian Herrera (130-AB,
.277).
The top
outfield prospects, Tyrone Taylor and Victor Roach, played A+ in 2014 and project as two
years away
At short,
pre-ARB Jean Segura (461-AB, .234) is backed up
by Herrera. In addition, Hector Gomez (AAA:
.282, 15-HR, 49-RBI) has been called up this month and will most probably
compete with Segura next year in spring training.
Their #2
prospect is SS Orlando Arcia, but he’s two years
away.
Mack
Observation – Parra is an interesting consideration for the Mets outfield, but
the arbitration process alone will probably raise his 2015 salary to the $6mil+
range. Do you really want another one-year Chris Young deal?
Me? No one
jumps out at me here. I’d pass and move on to the next team.
11 comments:
Morning Mack
Only 4 NL guys with 25+ homers? Move the fences in, so it can be 7 or 8 next year!
I make my case for that in an article coming out on Macks Mets in the next day or two (forgot which, at least I know it will be in Sept, and this is 2014, right)?
I guess Dario Alvarez is finding out the large gap between major league and s Atlantic hitters.
My fences article is Monday at noon - read it and get on the bandwagon if you will.
Jean segura could be a nice buy low option? I don't think his defense is that great but he has some wheels.
Thomas -
We spend so much time here wishing we had better hitters and yet there really aren't that many old fashioned sluggers left in this game.
Duda may turn out to be one.
I'd rather have a 280+/.350 guy with 15 HRs and a bunch of doubles than one with 25 HRs and a sub- .250/.300 with a ton more Ks.
Just a comment on today's lineup.
I see Young is starting again today. Is Nieuwenhuis hurt, or is TC having another relapse of his EYJ man-crush?
Steve -
No, no, EYJ has been hot and, why not. He's not going to be on this team next year anyway
@Steve To be fair to Terry, it may well be they want to make a final evaluation on Eric Young, Jr. who could likely be non-tendered as an over $2 million player next season. Nieuwenhuis is still minimum wage though his spot on the 40-man roster is not guaranteed either.
I feel bad for den Dekker. Clearly the Mets were committed to seeing what he could do, but then a HBP and he has not been able to grip the bat...hence, EY Jr.
I look for Duda to go for 35 next year, 40+ if fences come in.
segura would be a nice get, for sure. id be very interested to see what the cost is on him. If its Gee and murhpy Id do it in a sec
Segura would be a good addition to any team (except, perhaps, the Rockies) but the Mets' more pressing need is a slugging corner outfielder. If they can find one who provides speed as well, so much the better. I'd rather preserve our trade chips for a Ryan Braun type (not that Milwaukee would trade him now if they didn't hot off his steroid admissions).
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