Posted by Mack Ade at 8:00 AM
Mike Petriello on the Rookie Of The Year -
If it sounds like I’m talking myself into Jacob deGrom, I think I am. Hamilton’s season was a success in many ways, but I don’t know that we’re walking away from it any more convinced that he’s the answer the Reds need. The biggest strike against deGrom — maybe the only one, really — is that he didn’t pitch as much as you would have liked in the bigs this year. But really, it’s not like he was mediocre for a while and then had a great finish. In his debut, he held the Yankees to one run over seven innings. He held the Pirates scoreless over 6.2 innings in his third start. In his fourth, he struck out 11 hitters. Only three times all year did he allow more than three earned runs.
So really, for me, it comes down to this: If deGrom had made three more starts that weren’t total disasters, are we even talking about this? I’m not sure that we are. Hamilton had his moments. deGrom, despite being around less, had more. What stopped Hamilton from being more valuable was his own performance; what stopped deGrom was opportunities given, plus he had the likely boost of finishing well while Hamilton did not. deGrom is the choice for the Rookie of the Year on these pages, and I think, in a tight vote, the actual voters will agree. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/national-league-rookie-of-the-year-billy-hamilton-reds-jacob-degrom-mets/
Comment From Guest - Mets 2015 Win Total? Harvey 2015 WAR? DeGrom 2015 WAR? Wheeler 2015 WAR?
Neil Weinberg: 84, 4, 3, 3.
Comment From Neel - Which team will improve the most next year? Not talking like the Rays who are good and unlucky, but which team will actually have a better team?
Neil Weinberg: Assume the Rangers are out then. Cubs. Mets, maybe?
Mack - This might be the most positive analysis of the 2015 Mets that I have seen come out from all the ‘experts’ over at Fangraphs. Would an 84-78 record get them into the playoffs? Well, it wouldn’t have this year.
Matt Reynolds, SS (No. 20) - For the Mets, no position on the diamond remains more unsettled than shortstop, where Alderson has more than a few options for 2015. The GM could stick with Flores, gambling on the 23-year-old's high-upside bat. He could spring for one of the top free agents available, choosing from a group that includes J.J. Hardy, Jed Lowrie and Asdrubal Cabrera. He could even make a trade.
Or he could look to Reynolds, who rocketed up prospect charts by batting .343 with a .405 on-base percentage in 126 games split between Binghamton and Las Vegas.
Yet despite his success, Reynolds insists he paid little attention to what Flores, Ruben Tejada and the organization's other shortstops spent this summer doing.
"Honestly, no," Reynolds said when asked if he kept close tabs on the situation. "I just worry about myself and the team that I'm on. When that time comes and I get called up, I'll start worrying about that team. But during the season, I wasn't looking ahead or behind. I was just focused on the present." http://m.mets.mlb.com/news/article/95849306/mets-farmhands-take-right-mindset-into-2015
Mack – Man, these guys have really learned how to not answer a question. Are we actually supposed to think that a player like Reynolds doesn’t jump online like the rest of us to find out what our ‘competition’ out there is doing?
The current gaggle of scouts that follow the Mets have always tagged Reynolds as a future utility ballplayer. This is the same thing they said about Juan Lagares.
I worry for Reynolds. I happen to think that Wilmer Flores will be the future Mets SS due to the fact he will continue to improve his production and he is team controlled. I also think that the Mets will go at least one more year with Ruben Tejada, this time as a utility SS/2B infielder in 2015.
This leaves Reynolds to only return to Vegas for another year and, frankly, it’s going to be hard for him to improve on the kind of stats he’s already put up there. One good thing for him… it doesn’t look like Gavin Cecchini will be pushing him next year.
We stay in the AL-Central by checking out the Cleveland Indians for a possible 2015 shortstop or left fielder.
According to Cot[i], the 2014 Indians payroll is $84,445,900.
The Indians seem to like to sign up their key players to team options.
2B Jason Kipnis is signed through a team option in 2020, LF Michael Brantley is signed through a team option in 2018, DH-1B Carlos Santana is signed through a team option in 2017, 1B Nick Swisher has a team option through 2017, CF Michael Bourn also has a team option through 2017, and RF David Murphy has a team option through 2015.
The Indians started this season with Asdrubal Cabrera as their starting shortstop, but he was traded to the Washington Nationals for SS prospect Zach Walters. Team controlled Jose Ramirez moved over from second and is now the starting shortstop.
Prospect wise, 2015 should be the year for SS Francisco Lindor (2014-AAA: 165-AB .273, 5-HR). He’s also a potential Gold Glove candidate. He’s backed up with Erik Gonzalez (AA - .357) who has a 2016 ETA, Outfield wise, there are plenty. There are two that will be ready next season, James Ramsey (AAA- .284) and Tyler Naquin (AA - .313, currently DL). Two more, Bradley Zimmer and Clint Frazier have 2017 ETAs.
Mack Observation – Cleveland looks like the perfect trade candidate for a left fielder, be it short or long term. They obviously can solve their own future outfield objectives from within their system, but the Mets can help them reach their goals with good, effective pitching.
My approach would be to trade for Murphy and assume his $6mil 2015 contract. It also has a team option in 2016 which, I assume, would come along with the deal and could come in handy if the progress of Brandon Nimmo and/or Michael Conforto becomes delayed.