Posted by Thomas Brennan at 12:00 PM
Tom Brennan - MAJORING ON THE MINORS: GREAT STATS OF STEVE MATZ
On March 3, Mike Puma wrote the following, in a discussion of who might start opening day:
"Who should get the nod? ‘If it were up to me I would give it to Matz,’ one team official said half-jokingly….Matz is expected to begin the season in AAA…., but continues to impress team brass in camp.”
So it got me thinking about Steve Stats, err, I mean Steve Matz. And the stats of Mr. Matz. What story do they tell?
Better than one might think. Better than I thought. All great. Check these out…….
Post All Star break 2014 – Matz tosses 8 starts, with an ERA was 1.90, with just 9 walks in 47.1 innings. Finished 2014 with a surge.
Following those 8 starts came a decent first playoff start, but in his 2nd, the 2014 championship game on Sept 12, he went 7.1 innings, 2 hits, one run, 11 Ks. Clutch. But just a fluke, right? Just...got....lucky, right? Wrong…
In 2013, in the S. Atlantic League playoffs, 2 starts, 12.2 innings, 5 hits, no runs, 17 Ks. No fluke, my friends.
Pre-All Star 2013, 2.88 ERA, 1.26 WHIP. Post-All Star, 2.40 ERA, 1.08 WHIP. Another surge.
As each season moves along, he gets better.
WHAT DOES HIS WHIP TELL US?
2012 WHIP vs. righties, 1.00, vs. lefties 2.00. Hmm, better vs. righties. But just 29 innings, so not a lot to go on.
2013 WHIP vs. righties, 1.10, vs. lefties 1.38. Hmm, still better vs. righties.
2014 (first half season in High A ball): vs. righties, 1.18 WHIP, and 1.43 vs. lefties. Hmm, still better vs. righties.
2014 in AA after promotion: vs. righties, 1.18 WHIP, but a much-improved 0.91 vs. lefties. Hmm, still great vs. righties, but real progress vs. lefties. By year end, real tough on lefties and righties. Real tough, period.
One in 29 innings in 2012. Nice. Four in 106.1 innings in 2013 – 2 in first 7 starts, just 2 in the last 14 starts. Real nice. Just 3 in 24 starts in 2014. Beyond nice. No homers in 25 career post-season innings. In all, eight homers in 301 career innings. Just 8. By comparison, Logan Verrett surrendered 49 in 411 innings. Matz hates to let fans get souvenirs, I guess.
As a lefty, pitching to almost all righties – 76% of his batters against have been righties, in fact. Remarkable to have such HR-stingy success against a heavily righty opposition, and allow just a dead ball era level of homers.
Thought you'd never ask. Including playoffs: a superb 2.24 in 301 innings.
17 BBs in 29 innings in 2012…not good. 38 in 106.1 innings in 2013. Better. 35 in 140.2 innings in 2014 – great.
Never threw an intentional base on balls in 276 innings – why intentionally walk guys you’re better than?
One point of comparison:
Lets compare him to his fellow elite prospect Noah Syndergaard. Mr S., excluding his tough AAA season last year, had tossed about the same # of innings thru 2013 as Matz has. 306 innings, similar WHIP, but a much higher (while still commendable) ERA: Thor at 2.71 vs. Matz’s 2.24. And Thor faces far fewer lefties than Matz does righties, an inherent advantage for Thor.
Statistics are Terrific for Steve Matz…I see NO bad ones. None.
GREAT things are coming for Stevie Wonder. I have a future stat: why can’t he be a #1 caliber major league starter? Statistically, I can't think of any reason why not. It's possible to have five #1 starters, isn't it?