8/8/25

MACK - MY Friday Observations - Elian Pena, Dom Hamel, Brandon Sproat, Jacob Reimer, Will Watson, Mets A Mess

 



Morning Thoughts 

I’m starting to realize that Mets 17-year old shortstop, Elian Pena, might be “one” of them.

He began his professional career young and probably scared to death, hitting only .186 in June.

July has been a complete another story:

         72-AB, 1-HR, 11-RBI, 15-BB, .306/.425/.431/.856

And August (through 8-5) has been totally sick:

         .643/.688/1.000/1.688

The 17-year-old is now hitting .290/.417/.490 with 20 stolen bases in 45 DSL games.

The Mets seem obvious to let him finish this season in his home country and the question is which Florida team will be the one he opens up with next spring.

I wouldn’t rush him, but I would move him along a little faster than this team is famous for. 

Say St. Lucie on opening day and finish the season in Brooklyn.

The Mets may really have a future superstar here.

 

I’m confused.

The Mets promoted relief pitcher Dom Hamel earlier this week. This was exciting for Dom. First time ever. Then, they sent him back to Syracuse to be replaced by another righthanded pitcher. (???)

What happened here? 

Did someone walk by his locker, looked at Dom, and went back asking “what’s he doing here?”

What a mind fuck this must have been for Hamel.

I guess someone high up must have read what Brennan has been saying recently.

So instead another of the three remaining starters in Syracuse, Justin Hagenman, replaced Hamel.

To quote, I thing, an old friend Jimmy Breslin… 

Can’t anybody here play this game?


The Top Performers From Last Week in Minor League Baseball 7/28-8/3

https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/top-performers-minor-league-baseball-news/

Brandon Sproat, RHP, New York Mets

Last Week: 1 GS, 5 IP, 9 Ks, 3 BB, 0.00 ERA

Over the past few stories, one of the key themes that’s taken shape is the sheer dominance of the Mets’ top prospects. This continued this week with Brandon Sproat’s most recent start, as he was fantastic on the bump. He’s currently in the middle of an electric stretch, one that could lead him to a big league promotion.

In his start last week, Sproat went five shutout innings, striking out nine while walking three batters. Dating back to June 28th, Sproat has allowed just two earned runs, a streak that only lengthened with his most recent start.

Sproat is currently ranked as our 88th-best prospect, and he’s been looking more and more like a big league-ready arm as the season has progressed.


Just Baseball – Updated Top 100 Prospects – 7-29

https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/top-100-mlb-prospects/#entry-112912

81. Jacob Reimer – 3B – New York Mets

Height/Weight: 62, 205 | Bat/Throw: R/R | 4th Round (119), 2024 (CIN) | ETA: 2027

HIT         Plate Disc.           GAME POWER   RUN       FIELD     FV

40/50     60/60     50/55     45/45     40/45     50

A California prep bat, Reimer was selected in the fourth round of the 2022 draft, turned in an impressive first pro season in 2023 before injuries limited him to just 21 regular season games in 2024. The Mets sent Reimer out to the Arizona Fall League to make up for lost reps, where he posted mostly average numbers, but started to make the mechanical adjustments that have him breaking out in 2025.

Hitting

Reimer previously started with his weight stacked on his back side and back knee bowed out towards home. Starting so stacked with his back knee at that angle likely made it more difficult to hold his weight back as he began his launch, resulting in some drift forward.

He now starts more upright, coiling into his back side with rhythm along with his barrel getting into a slot that is much easier to get on plane (he dropped his hands too low with the bat more vertical as he loaded before).

These improvements have Reimer’s barrel living in the zone much longer while putting him in a more powerful position to hit. He has cut his ground ball rate by 10% while his hard hit rate has jumped from 33% in 2023 and 2024 combined to a whopping 49% through his first 50 games in 2025.

While finding more barrel depth, Reimer has maintained solid contact rates while his pitch recognition skills and feel for the strike zone stand out. There’s above average power potential with the feel to hit and approach to get into it.

Defense/Speed

Not necessarily the fleetest of foot, Reimer’s range is fringy at third base, but he has an above average arm and is comfortable throwing on the run and from different angles. He may ultimately profile best at first base, but Reimer should be able to provide passable defense at third.

Outlook

Earning high marks for his work ethic and knowledge of his swing, Reimer followed an injury-riddled 2024 season with tangible adjustments in the box and added strength that have him breaking out offensively in 2025. Even if there is limited value beyond the bat, Reimer has the offensive ingredients to get on base at an above average clip and hit 20-25 homers.


The Top 30 Mets Pitching Prospects

isaacgrofman@substack.com

4. Will Watson

FF: 60/70 | FC: 55/55 | SL: 55/55 | CH: 55/55 | SI: 50/50 | Control: 45/45 | Arsenal: 50/55 | Uniqueness: 60 | FV: 50

My breakout pick among Mets prospects this year. 

Watson showed big-time swing-and-miss stuff in 2024, posting a 3.93 ERA and 4.03 FIP across 50.1 innings as a starter and reliever. His fastball topped at 97 mph with 18 inches of IVB from a low 5.3-foot release, helping it generate a 21% whiff rate. He also flashed a nasty changeup with 41% whiffs and a slider that, while lacking elite shape, still missed bats. Originally a 20th-round pick by the Mariners in 2023, he returned to school and looks like a much better prospect than his draft slot suggests, limited mainly by control and reliever risk.

While the slider is slowly improving, his fastball projects as a 60-grade pitch with upside. If the cutter and changeup continue to play, he could shoot up prospect rankings this summer.


Mets A Mess

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6536011/2025/08/05/mets-sean-manaea-rotation-woes/

The Mets are 63-50. They are 1 1/2 games behind the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the National League East. Three teams earn wild-card bids into the playoffs, and the Mets sit in second, four games ahead of the fourth-place team. It is the first week of August; not time to panic. Yet the Mets find themselves in such a position mostly because of how well they played over the first two months of the season, not the last two months.

Since June, the Mets are 27-28. They are a different team than the one they were in May. Back then, the Mets received solid starting pitching. Even early on, getting consistently deep into games was an issue, but at least it wasn’t something that all but one starter was allergic to.

These days, the Mets’ rotation is a problem.

For as much as Frankie Montas’ struggles have dominated the discussion, concerns over Kodai Senga and Sean Manaea hold more importance. The Mets need Senga and Manaea leading them, along with David Peterson — they profile as the club’s playoff starters. Regardless of the plan by then calling for designed shorter starts or not, the Mets need to first reach the postseason. And to do that, they are relying on Senga and Manaea being healthy and productive.

20 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

I don’t think, Mack, that my comments had anything to do with Hamel’s weird few days. In fact, I NEVER have dreams about the Mets, ever, but this AM, just before I woke up, I was on a buffet line behind Steve Cohen, just him and me. He ignored me, but as he was done, and walking away, he turned, paused, and flipped me the bird. I am trying hard to interpret that LOL.

ELIAN? He has two more DSL weeks to dazzle us. Next year, his stateside stardom begins.

Mack Ade said...

I was just joking with ya

I'm having a hard time writing about this team right now. I can't figure out why...

Tom Brennan said...

Reimer since June 1 has hit .200. Maybe it is fatigue? Nick Lorusso, who gets no mention, is hitting .320 in July and August, .271 overall with 47 RBIS in under 300 at bats.

Tom Brennan said...

Scintillating is not a word I’d use to describe Mets performance over the last 8 weeks. Bad and dreary do work well, though.

Mack Ade said...

The video.of McNeil sitting in the dugout after the game said everything

It was if he just witnessed a walkout against him in the 7th game of the WS

JoeP said...

Tom, I have a few more choice words for the Mets play over the past 2 months and scintillating definitely is not one of them.

Can't remember a time when so many of the core players have underperformed to such an extent. At least when some of the old teams stunk, that was because the players actually were not good.

This right now is unwatchable.

JoeP said...

The Cedric Mullins trade was ridiculous. A waste of 3 prospects.

Tom Brennan said...

They should have cut Taylor and tried Gilbert. Frankly, the idea of Siri and Taylor asco-CFs was stupid. Great defense, awful offense. Taylor’s OBP over the past 4 years is around .270. Same for Siri. That is dumb.

Gary Seagren said...

I loved the Cohen/ Sterns combo but lets face it last winter and this years trade deadline sucks big time. Who the hell were we competing with for Montas? Maybe they have Rick Peterson on the payroll and he'll fix him in 10 minutes yeah right. Siri Taylor was a save money deal as Bader cost to much and we see how thats working. Quintana's 9 and 4 with a 3.57 ERA and he's only getting 4 mil this year and don't get me started on Mullins. DS is the golden boy but when I think of all the former Mets playing for other teams and playing much better than what we have it burns me up! Also why aren't Sproat and McNeal up yet ?

JoeP said...

I'm right there with you Gary. I must have said this several times on past posts, what team was going to give Montas more than 1 year/10m.

Mullins, absolutely mind-numbing trade.

I actually like Stearns but to me the bloom is off the rose. As I've stated several times, his downfall will be that he believes he's the smartest guy in the room.

As for Cohen, love his commitment to making us great. All I have to say is you may be a brilliant businessman, BUT STAY THE F***
OUT OF BASEBALL OPERATIONS.

Thanks for that 15 year gift that you forced down Stearns throat.

Mack Ade said...

Joe

You need to get more definitive in your opinions

TexasGusCC said...

To Tom, JoeP, and Mack, from Jim Bowden in The Arhletic in his article yesterday about giving out awards:

Biggest overpay: The Mets trading prospects Blade Tidwell and Drew Gilbert and reliever José Buttó to the Giants for Tyler Rogers. Trading three future major-league players (Buttó joined the Giants and is controllable through 2030) for a two-month rental seemed like an overpay, especially if Gilbert develops into an everyday player. I thought dealing two of those three for Rogers would have been fair.

Now, to be fair, Bowden doesn’t have a job in MLB but I actually said the same thing. I really don’t like this trade, and I hope we don’t continue to see foolish trades as we try to capture the Holy Grail of baseball, because the Dodgers didn’t become “the Dodgers” that we are chasing by overpaying.

ANGRY MIKE said...

I think Peña will make his debut at St. Lucie, similar to recent preps Jett, Reiner, Ewing, and Snyder. If he performs like Jett did he’ll be up to Brooklyn in short order. I’m curious who he’s going to be paired with initially and which prospects ahead of him will be slow tracked as the Mets anticipate his rapid progression.

TexasGusCC said...

The broadcast was clear that the roster spot will be a rotation of pitchers that can provide innings. If you pitch in the game it will be for multiple innings and then a fresh arm (Hageman, in this instance) will be brought up.

TexasGusCC said...

This is how you have to reach when your starters are failing and you have built a bullpen of divas that all go one inning…. And you over pay for them.

Tom Brennan said...

Secret: I rarely watch them. I did whenthey were 45-24.

Tom Brennan said...

Mike, good question…for the off season. I’d like to see Pena make his Mets debut by mid-2028. We will see. I thought Alex Ramirez would rocket up, too.

Tom Brennan said...

Gus, if those trades don’t win us the division, or at least get us into the playoffs, that will be a long-regretted trade. I’m willing to overpay a bit (or a bit more than a bit) to get to a World Series.

Eddie from Corona said...

Mack good point about Pena and big question is will he push all the kids

Look at churios in Milwaukee
No holding him back

And Reyes was up at 20

When they are special let him be special

Eddie from Corona said...

I do have a question
How many 5 million dollar international players are busts?

They are usually the cream of the crop of that year’s international market

Even the Martian I would not call a bust
What I would say is his value was not maximized…
They should have traded the Martian for premier value in return

(This is why to me kelenic trade will never be viewed as a success.
We traded for Diaz because we took the cano salary
So kelenic should never have been part of that deal… who else would have paid cano)