Posted by Mack Ade at 8:00 AM
Ken Davidoff - http://www.nypost.com/p/sports/mets/mets_fans_spend_too_much_for_wright_PhnRyVHGjPJH7R5DChgyMI
As expected, everyone is still writing about Wright and Dickey. Is there a combined word here? Wrigkey?
If we use Sandy history as an example, this could go on for a while, especially if either of these players (through their agents) sends signs that they are reluctant to reaching any agreement on a long term extension before the start of spring training. Alderson seems like the kind of man that doesn’t like to be backed against a wall. He was very swift to rid himself of some early contracts when he came aboard and he obviously didn’t want any part of Jason Bay anymore. Additionally, don’t be surprised if one or more of these negotiations go far past opening day.
I will predict this. Alderson will go immediately into the trading mode if an extension isn’t worked out before the end of February. The Sandy Mets are not going to dick around with phone calls, followed by tweets. And, don’t be surprised if this continues up to the all-star break where he can pull off another Zack Wheeler kind of deal.
Look, if you’re going to lose both Wright and Dickey after the 2013 season, why not wait and see who is in contention and go after their next top prospect? The loss would be great, but the addition of, lets say, Bubba Starling and Jackie Bradley Jr. would ease the pain.
Top Prospects By Team – Matt Garrioch - http://www.mlbprospectguide.com/p/top-15-prospects.html?spref=tw - Mets
1 Matt Harvey P Second Starter
2 Brandon Nimmo OF First Division Starter
3 Zack Wheeler P Second Starter
4 Kirk Nieuwenhuis OF
5 Aderlin Rodriguez 3B Second Division Starter
6 Rafael Montero P Second Starter
7 Gavin Cecchini SS Bench Player
8 Cesar Puello OF First Division Starter
9 Jefry Marte 3B First Division Starter
10 Jeurys Familia P Third Starter
11 Wilmer Flores 3B First Division Starter
12 Alonzo Harris 2B Second Division Starter
13 Jenrry Mejia P Third Starter
14 Tomas Nido C First Division Starter
15 Gilbert Gomez OF Second Division Starter
16 Darrell Ceciliani OF First Division Starter
17 Francisco Pena C First Division Starter
18 Corey Oswalt P Third Starter
19 Juan Centeno C First Division Starter
20 Wilfredo Tovar SS First Division Starter
21 Akeel Morris P Fourth Starter
22 Juan Urbina P Set Up Man
23 Camden Maron C Second Division Starter
24 Cory Mazzoni P Third Starter
25 Michael Fulmer P Third Starter
26 Gabriel Ynoa P Third Starter
27 Phillip Evans SS Bench Player
28 Christian Montgomery P
29 Matt Den Dekker OF Bench Player
30 Armando Rodriguez P Middle Reliever
31 Elvin Ramirez P Closer
32 Robert Carson P Middle Reliever
33 Domingo Tapia P Third Starter
34 Kevin Plawecki C Bench Player
35 Chris Flexen P Third Starter
36 Juan Lagares SS Bench Player
37 Stefan Sabol C Bench Player
38 Richard Lucas 3B Bench Player
39 Cory Vaughn OF Bench Player
40 Darin Gorski P Third Starter
41 Angel Cuan P Third Starter
42 Alex Panteliodis P Third Starter
43 Rainy Lara P Third Starter
44 Logan Verrett P Third Starter
45 Tyler Pill P Third Starter
46 Miller Diaz P Third Starter
47 Hansel Robles P Third Starter
48 Bradley Marquez OF
49 Matt Reynolds 3B Bench Player
50 Jayce Boyd 1B Bench Player
51 Robert Whalen P
52 Matt Bowman P Third Starter
53 Logan Taylor P Middle Reliever
54 Travis Taijeron OF Bench Player
55 Matt Koch P Bench Player
56 Ryan Fraser P Middle Reliever
Boy, where do I start…
I’ve followed Matt for years now. He’s had his own site well before joining John Sickles. Matt has always been one to think big. I think he actually printed a ‘top 2000 prospect list’ once which always made me wonder how you can decipher between the 1988th and 1989th pick.
I’ve always believed that the ranking of each team’s prospects should be left to beat and blog writers that follow a particular team. Moreover, they should be done by writers like Rob Castellano or Toby Hyde; those who specialize in the minor league teams of that organization. You will never see a team official come out with one of these and scouts would be fired if they printed the notes in their books.
I’ve also learned over the years not to try and project anyone that hasn’t played for a full season team. Every organization has a bunch of players that look awfully good hitting against a 44th round draft pick. And pitching is even less predictable. The speed ballers always get the nod which means nothing at the critical AA level (there is no ball easier to hit at the major league level than a 94 mph fastball that is thrown straight). In our case, Savannah would be the first true test whether or not someone has the ‘stuff’ needed to go all the way, but even those leagues are littered with free-swinging undisciplined hitters and pitchers that don’t know the difference from an inside strike and a pitchout.
Matt’s list has all the players in the system that ‘could’ qualify as a top 50 prospect, but just the expression ‘top 50 prospect’ does not tag you with being special. I always liked John Sickles’ approach (grading A,B,C, etc.) because it exposes just how few true prospects there are in every system. Sickles has one basic rule of thumb… if you’re below B, you’re probably going to be coaching at the high school level soon.
The Mets have done very well within their system. Their entire infield is homegrown. Kirk Nieuwenhuis and Lucas Duda could represent two-thirds of the opening day outfield. And three-fifths of the rotation was drafted. The negative in that is that the current minor league system has been thinned out to the point that there just isn’t that many ‘A’s’ and ‘B’s’ left.
My list differs from Matt’s. I’m not saying he’s wrong, but I see it from closer in than he does.
My ‘A’ players are SP Matt Harvey, SP Zack Wheeler. That’s all. ‘A’ players are ‘can’t miss’ and only fail if hit by a truck.
There’s one ‘A-‘ on my list: SP Rafael Montero. He’s an ‘A’ waiting to happen and may turn out to be more talented than both Harvey and Wheeler.
B+ would be 3B Wilmer Flores. I need to see one more half season from Flores before I raise him to ‘A’.
My ‘B’ players are SP Michael Fulmer and RP Jack Leathersich. Fulmer has incredible maturity for his age and ‘Leather’ has a K/IP ratio that, so far, is off the charts.
There’s a bunch of B- players… OF Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF Matt den Dekker, SP Logan Verrett, SP Tyler Pill, SP Domingo Tapia, SP Jake deGrom, C Cam Maron, and OF Cory Vaughn. All have shown the ability to dominate at their last level but need addition time to develop into true baseball entities.
That’s it for me… 14. But remember, there are 9 more (minus Kirk and Harvey, add Edgin) already on the 25-man.