5/23/25

MACK - IN FOCUS - Wenninger, Sproat, Tong, Chirinos

 


Pitch Profiler                                              @pitchprofiler

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(Edwin Diaz)

 


2025 Reliever ERA Leaderboard

(Huascar Brazoban)

 


2025 ERA Leaderboard

(Kodai Senga)

 


May 21st proLocation+ Pitch Leaderboard - (min. 5 Pitches Tracked)

(Huascar Brazoban)



Thomas Nestico                             @TJStats

Most Unlucky Batters

(Juan Soto)

 


To clear up any confusion:

xwOBA should not be used as a predictive measure. It is measuring what a batters wOBA should be based on their batted balls. It was designed to be a descriptive measure, and should be used as such

Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed. xwOBA is more indicative of a player's skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation.


Worst Whiff% on Middle-Middle Pitches

 


Best 4-Seam Fastball Whiff%

 


Most 100+ MPH Batted Balls

 


            MACK –

            I thought Soto wasn’t hitting the ball well?

 

Mathew Brownstein                    @MBrownstein89

Jett Williams's last 25 games:

.314/.422/.558, .980 OPS

8 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, 16 BB, 12 RBI, 8 SB

            MACK –

Jett is currently the only two-color prospect in my rating system. I have him as a RED prospect at short, but, due to limited play here, only a BLUE prospect in center. Trust me, he will be a major league ballplayer some day for many years, but I’m just not sold on him being a solid long-term starter. Maybe that’s just me.

 

Ernest Dove                                     @ernestdove

Updated season totals on Mets LHP prospect Ryan Ammons who still no longer belongs in High A

10 app      12 inn      2 H      2 ER      4 BB      16 K

            MACK –

Currently, I have Chandler Marsh, Jace Beck, Dylan Tebrake (rehab assignment), Saul Garcia, Alfred Vega, and Raimon Gomez as BLUE prospects at this level.

            Ammons getting close to joining them.

 

Mets RP prospect Chandler Marsh last 5 app combined in High A

7.2 inn      3 H      0 ER      1 BB      11 K

He never allowed an ER in Low A & randomly gave up runs in one High A outing this season.

            MACK –

I originally had Marsh as a BLUE prospect but dropped him back to black after he created some really bad early season stat lines. Looks like I should have kept him BLUE.

            I’ll keep an eye on him.


Farm To Flushing                           @FarmToFlushing

Jack Wenninger turns in a solid start for Binghamton.

5 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 5 SO, 81 pitches/ 47 strikes.

He lowers his season ERA to 2.81 through 41 innings.

            MACK –

Now, you all know how high I have been on this guy since the Mets drafted him.

The current Syracuse rotation has four solid entries… a fading Sproat, a fading Tidwell, a fading Waddell, and Nolan McLain. We assume that the next promotion out of Binghamton will be Jonah Tong, but don’t sleep on this guy either.

 

Farm To Flushing                           @FarmToFlushing

Brandon Sproat is off to a good start in Syracuse.

3 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 SO, 33 pitches/ 24 strikes

            MACK –

HA.

Like Dom Hamel before him. Sproat has proven, in my eyes, to be unable to go three times around a AAA lineup. This is not the makings of a future major league starter.

I suggest one of two things here. One, limit him to twice around and let him at least build back his confidence… or, two, add him to the pen as a two-inning middle man.

Naturally, try to come up with some different mix of pitchers or even develop a new pitch.

Additionally, study his release points and trajectory at release, both when he starts in the first inning, to his lasty bad innings.

There is a lot of talent here being wasted.


Thomas Nestico                             @TJStats 

AA Best Whiff%

 


Mathew Brownstein                    @MBrownstein89

Lowest batting average on balls in play (BABIP) with runners in scoring position this season:

Chicago White Sox: .236

Baltimore Orioles: .242

New York Mets: .242

 

Ernest Dove                                     @ernestdove

Way down on the Mets farm in FCL action this morning RHP Jose Chirinos final line

4 inn 1 H 0 ER 2 BB 6 K

His totals now through 3 app:

11.1 inn    7 H    2 ER    5 BB    16 K

He is 20 years old so have to see how things play out and when/if he gets promotion to Low A to further evaluate


     Mack –

This is a 20/year old with his whole career ahead of him. He turns 21 in October. 6-3, 170.

Something has surely happened here. His 2022 DSL-Mets ERA was 4.91… 2023 at the same level 4.62… 2024 for FCL Mets 6.14… and St. Lucie 9.00. One must wonder why he was still salaried.

Now comes 2025 and…

Lab rat?

One thing he could always do is produce a killer K/9%, but his WHIP was through the roof. This season, only three walks.

Strong 12-16K over 8.1-11.1IP potential.

Way too early to count on this kid, but I give him an early BLUE prospect for now. He joins fellow blue prospects Josue Guevara and David Hurtado in the FCL rotation.


14 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Lots to chew on. It is clear Soto has hit in bad luck. Soon, he should hit in good luck.

Andres Munoz 22 outings, no earned runs this year. Insane. He has Seattle in first place single-handedly.

Tom Brennan said...

Seattle of course also has 16 HR catcher Cal Raleigh, who shows how to convert potential power into actual results. Alvarez is the opposite - he has been up 70 times with one HR. I WANT THE OLD HR-HITTING ALVAREZ BACK.

Mack Ade said...

I've said this before

We may need to keep an eye on Chris Suero and Ronald Hernandez

Mack Ade said...

I'm happy with the second coming of Brazoban

D J said...

Mack,
How far away are Chris Suero and Ronald Hernandez to compete for a position on the Mets?

Anonymous said...

Hit to right field or swing for the fences? Lay off Alvarez, give him a little more time

D J said...

Alvarez has the ability to be an all star catcher if he can harness that power and find a swing that will generate that power while hitting with more authority.

Mack Ade said...

Both are in Brooklyn

Suero also is a corner outfielder. Made an incredible play in left last night

So both have an ETA for 2027/8

Mack Ade said...

I'm not sure he can master the game inside his head. It's his worst enemy

Paul Articulates said...

Heck with luck, just give us attitude!

Paul Articulates said...

Brandon Sproat has fallen from grace way too quickly. Last year, everyone wanted him in the MLB starting rotation by this year. Now he is promptly dismissed. Seems to me that both sides were over-reactions. He has some learning to do. But the kid can throw, so let's not give up on him!

Tom Brennan said...

Everyone is wild about Blackburn. But first, remember his last outing of 2024: 2.1 IP, 10 hits, 5 runs. Megill is better.

Sproat is easily the 1,000th best professional pitcher in baseball.

Tom Brennan said...

Andres Munoz this year: ERA 0.00. Compare to Sproat ERA in AAA in 2024-25: 7.06. But it is only numbers, right?

Mack Ade said...

I'm being told his velocity is fine but the fastball has little movement this season. Very hittable