5/15/25

MACK- Soto. Chain Position Analysis - RP (3 or 3) - other Mets news

 


Pitch Profiler                       @pitchprofiler

Ryne Stanek's comeback tour is going to sell out Citi Field night after night

 


May 13th Starter proStuff+ Leaderboard

(min. 50 Pitches Tracked)

 


May 13th Reliever proPitching+ Leaderboard

(min. 10 Pitches Tracked)

 




Kodai Senga leads the National League in ERA!

 



Amongst a loaded Mets rotation, he’s established himself once again as their ace!


Thomas Nestico                 @TJStats

Fangraphs Cy Young Award Rankings



And lastly, the last four relievers, all of which are far past being qualitied as prospects. Still, they offer some positives this season:

 

Carlos Guzman – AA

26/years old    RHRP    6-1    210    2015-IFA Detroit

Acquired by Mets in 2023 in a minor league deal for UT Zach McKinstry.

Minors (8 seasons)  -  166-APPS, 65-ST, 30-26, 3.99, 1.31, 459.2-IP. 451-K

2024  AA/AAA  -   35-APPS, 2-2, 3.88, 1.19, 48.2-IP, 26-BB, 51-K

2025  AAA  -           2-APPS, 0-0, 20.25, 5.25, 1.1-IP, 2-BB, 1-K

           AA    -           7-APPS, 0-1, 2.35, 3-SV, 7-2-IP, 11-K

Three pitch mix –

    Fastball – mid-90s with good carry and arm speed

    Slider  -  low-80s

    Change  -  mid-80s

Pitches exclusively from the stretch. Tagged a “late bloomer”.

Excellent strikeout rate and fastball velocity make him a candidate for a future Mets bullpen role.

Obviously, Guzman’s limited time spent in Syracuse was not to his liking. Actually, it wasn’t to anyone in the State of New York’s liking. He’s back in Binghamton now, pitching at a level both he and his coaches more suits his game right now.

Needs to work on cutting back hits and walks.

 

Anthony Gose – AAA

34/years old    LHRP    6-0    200    2nd rd. 2008 pick by Phillies out of Bellflower HS

Converted from a speedy centerfielder.

DFAd by Tigers in 2027, he was then converted to a relief role.

TJS in 2022. Out all of 2023, part of 2024. Now healthy.

MLB  - 1.9-WAR, 3-0, 4.78, 1.34, 31-APPS, 32-IP, 41-K

So far 2025 – AAA  -  14-APPS, 2-1, 3.52, 1.43, 15.1-IP, 18-K

Two-pitch mix:

    4-seam fastball – mid-to-upper 90s, T-100, Excellent carry.

    Slider – upper 80s  66.7% whiff rate in 2022… 2nd among 435 pitchers throwing 100+ slider.

    Strengths – high strikeout potential (11.5 K/9 in major league career), ++ arm strength, swing and miss ability. Could also serve as pinch runner.

    Weaknesses – control. 5.4 BB/9 in AAA-2024. Still considered raw as a pitcher.

Yes he is raw, and yes his 2025 AAA ERA/WHIP is currently too high, but Goze is currently the top lefthanded chain reliever and probably next up for that role. 

 

Ty Adcock – AAA/MLB –

28/years old    RHRP   6-0   215   8th rd. 2018 Seattle, out of Elon University (NC)

2025 MLB –       0.0-WAR, 0-0, 0.00, 6.00, 1-APP, 0.1-IP, 0-K

Career MLB  -  -0.3-WAR, 0-0, 5.75, 1.08, 16-APPS, 20.1-IP, 14-K

2025 AAA     -      9-APPS, 1-0, 0.77, 1-SV, 11.2-IP, 9-K

 

Chris Devenski – AAA/MLB –

34/years old    RHRP    6-3    210    25th rd. 2011 CWS, out of Cal State

A.K.A.”Divo: or “The Dragon”

2012 – traded to Houston in deal for Brett Meyes

2012 – 16-K no-hitter for Lexington Legends

2017 – became first Astros pitcher ever to win a World Series gam- 1e

2021 – TJS

10-28-24 – signed with Mets for $1mil

MLB Career  -  -0.1-WAR, 1-APP, 2-IP, 0-0, 9.00, 1.50, 2-K

MLB Career -    2.8-WAR, 304-APPS, 7-SV, 27-22, 4.01, 1.13, 402-IP, 417-K

2025 AAA    -   12-APPS, 0-0, 1.42, 0.87, 12.2-IP, 9-K

Changeup is called his “circle of death”. Key weapon generating whiffs. Relies heavily on this pitch. Occasional control issues. 4.7 BB/9 in 2024.

Fastball and slider compliment change.

Basically the Mets hope this journeyman is a bloomer come lately.


Soto’s ground-ball rate is down

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6348899/2025/05/12/mets-jeff-mcneil-bat-speed-juan-soto-ground-ball-rate/

What stood out during Juan Soto’s lukewarm — it was never really cold — start was how often he was hitting the ball into the ground. At one point, his ground-ball rate for the season was above 55 percent, basically the level that was leading to Brett Baty’s struggles.

But over the last two-plus weeks, Soto’s ground-ball rate is below 40 percent, and he’s hitting the ball hard in the air more often. Those are the balls that become home runs and extra-base hits.

The Mets have gone from worst to (almost) first in limiting stolen bases

This time last year, the Mets had achieved an almost inconceivable statistical combination. They had allowed, by far, the most stolen bases in the majors. And they’d caught the fewest runners attempting to steal.


The future of the Mets offense is at Coney Island

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6340622/2025/05/08/mets-prospects-brooklyn-cyclones-2/

Benge and Eli Serrano, Brooklyn’s 6-foot-5 leadoff hitter on this Friday night, were drafted last summer out of big-time colleges and are thus in their first full professional season with the Mets. A two-way player at Oklahoma State, Benge can now focus exclusively on hitting and playing the outfield. Serrano, a fourth-round pick out of North Carolina State, defied the ballpark’s early-season bias against left-handed hitters by hitting two homers out to right field in the first homestand.

“We’ve gotten some good days with the wind blowing out, I guess,” he said.

While Serrano doesn’t look or profile like a leadoff hitter, he’s walked nearly as much as he’s struck out this season, carrying an on-base percentage near .400 with power that should play better now that the weather’s warmer.

His time in the lab during the spring has led to a focus on his base.

“I’m tall and lanky, so it’s about understanding how to fully use everything I’ve got,” he said. “Understand that my base wasn’t working the way it needed to work. Using my hips a little more. Staying in my base through my whole swing.”

Serrano smiled when recalling how overwhelming the lab could feel.

“Honestly, it was a lot of stuff I didn’t understand. They’ve got to dumb it down for all of us,” he said. “It tells you everything about your swing you need to know. It helped me understand some things about my swing to work on and keep going.”


Mark Vientos

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6336179/2025/05/06/mets-luisangel-acuna-prospects/

Mark Vientos has been struggling, both in the field and at the plate. If this level of performance continues, when might the Mets make a move to platoon him or possibly even get him back in the minors? — Emilie F.

WS: We received several questions regarding Vientos. Over the long term, I’m interested in learning how long the Mets stick with him at third base because his defensive numbers remain dim. But I don’t anticipate any drastic changes this early. I also don’t agree with the sentiment of many questions regarding his offense. Yes, he is off to a slow start. But the notion that his numbers are worsening is wrong. Over his past 19 games heading into the Mets’ series in Arizona, Vientos owns a .288/.346/.521 slash line with four home runs and a 23.5 percent strikeout rate (high, but still better than his 29.7 percent figure from last year). It’s early May. He’s 25. He hit 27 home runs last season. I understand the concern, especially on defense, but I wouldn’t be panicking yet.

 

Felipe De La Cruz

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6336179/2025/05/06/mets-luisangel-acuna-prospects/

Who do you see as the Mets’ next potential pitching development breakout? — Ithti U.

WS: Felipe De La Cruz, a 23-year-old lefty in Triple-A Syracuse. There’s a real possibility he cracks the Mets’ bullpen this season. In his Triple-A debut last week, De La Cruz tossed six scoreless innings with nine strikeouts. He allowed one hit. He is a great athlete who throws a four-seamer, two-seamer and slider. His fastball usually averages about 95 mph. Some evaluators suggested he may be capable of sitting at 97 mph in shorter stints. The Mets signed him in 2021 out of the Dominican Republic. At the time, he had minimal pitching experience. He has steadily improved over the last couple of years. Before his promotion, he had a 1.98 ERA in Double A with 20 strikeouts and just three walks in 13 2/3 innings.






4 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Felipe de la Cruz is an interesting riser to watch.

Tom Brennan said...

A slow day at the OK Corral

Paul Articulates said...

Love the Stanek chart - he threw mostly fastballs because they were an awesome pitch. If they can't hit it, keep throwing it!
Senga with an NL leading ERA and Fried with an AL leading ERA would have been a great matchup in the subway series. Too bad they were out of sync. Oh well, Peterson is up to the challenge.

Paul Articulates said...

The Soto ground ball rate is an interesting stat. I feel like his at-bats are getting better, so here is some proof. Wouldn't you just love to see him blast a couple over that right field wall at Yankee Stadium?